By Peter Bozanich
Here are three common techniques that global warming extremists use to shut down dissent.
(1) Shoot the messenger. Instead of taking on the argument, you try to cast doubt on the writer’s credibility. For example, suggest that the writer is “funded by the oil industry.” This does nothing to refute the argument, but it makes readers question whether the writer should be believed at all.
(2) Ride the bandwagon. One will frequently hear global warming extremists use the phrase “consensus” as in “there’s no point discussing this – a consensus of scientists agree that global warming is real.” This is a term which belongs in the realm of politics much more than science. Remember that there was once a “consensus” on the world being flat.
Richard Lintzen, an MIT scientist, calls global warming “junk science.” Dr. Timothy Ball, a climatologist at the University of Winnipeg, calls global warming “the greatest deception in the history of science.” Bill Gray, a climatologist from the University of Colorado (and the nation’s foremost hurricane expert), calls global warming a “hoax.”
In fact there is a film out now that refutes much of the current disinformation about global warming called “The Great Global Warming Swindle.” The program which aired earlier this month in Great Britain, features expert after expert in the fields of climatology, oceanography, biogeography, meteorology and paleoclimatology from reputable institutions such as NASA, MIT, The International Arctic Research Centre, the Pasteur Institut in Paris, the Danish National Space Center and the Universities of Winnipeg, Ottawa, London, Jerusalem, Alabama and Virginia.
The documentary can actually be viewed for free online (just search “great global warming swindle video” in Google) and can even be purchased on DVD. The film won’t win any Oscars, but definitely destroys the myth that there is a consensus about global warming.
(3) Outright censorship. This is the most dangerous aspect of the current hysteria. Former Pioneer Press columnist Brian Lambert suggested in a recent column that global warming skeptics should now be silenced. Two state climatologists – David Legates in Delaware and George Taylor in Oregon – are being threatened with loss of employment because they have expressed doubts about global warming. The Weather Channel’s Heidi Cullen recently called for decertification of meteorologists who refuse to acknowledge global warming.
It’s like a religion shunning its heretics. It recalls the darkest days of McCarthyism – a time when people were afraid to speak the truth for fear of losing their job, their freedom and even their life.
No one is disputing that our climate is changing. But the theory that carbon dioxide emissions have any discernable effect on climate has always lacked solid scientific evidence. Yes, humans have an effect on climate, but it’s infinitesimally tiny compared with the vast natural forces which are constantly pushing global temperatures up and down.
The reason all of this matters is that once politicians have scared you into believing that the world is about to end, they leave you with no other choice but to let them fix it. And it is their solution – not global warming – that ought to terrify every one of us.
It turns out that the costs of committing our state to a lower standard of living, fewer jobs and higher prices are real and quantifiable.
According to a Heritage Institute study the costs of limiting carbon emissions in Minnesota would include:
* A cost of $4.2 billion per year. That’s money that will no longer be available for schools, roads, fighting crime or health care.
* 30,000 lost jobs. Innocent people will be thrown out of work.
* $1.6 billion in lost wages. While government gets bigger, you get poorer.
* A drop in agricultural output. Watch your grocery bills skyrocket!
Real people and real jobs would all suffer. And for what? Because your politician saw Al Gore’s movie and believes every word?
When you hear the phrase “global warming,” think “big government” and “central control.” Because that is the ultimate goal. The global warming extremists don’t want to debate. But they do want your freedom.
And they’ll try to shout down anyone who stands in their way.
Peter Bozanich of Eden Prairie is the webmaster for the Senate District 42 Republican Party

A fanciful article -...
Back to page topA fanciful article - unfortunately fraught with talking points similar to those we seem to be getting from Senator Inhofe.
McCarthyism? I assume this is an attempt at humor.
I would recommend anyone who wants accurate information to visit:
http://environment.newscientist.com/channel/earth/climate-change/
or perhaps:
http://www.pewclimate.org/lomborg_critique.cfm
No need to worry - there are no evil minions at the door.
Actually, you’ve made my...
Back to page topActually, you’ve made my point. From your Pew Center on Global Climate Change link:
“The easiest context for seeing how an international compliance regime would work is if the global agreement involved common measures (e.g., a carbon tax). If one
country refused to comply with that approach, the rest of the world could simply impose a compensating tax on the relevant nation’s exports. Indeed, the other nations could
impose a PUNATIVE CARBON TAX -- i.e., a tax against the rogue nation’s exports equal to, say,three times the carbon tax that would have had to have been paid in the first place.”
And that, ultimately, is the goal, isn’t it? Scare people into supporting higher taxes, bigger government and central control. Punish them if they refuse to bike to work and give up their air conditioners. Meanwhile Al Gore continues to live like a king.
Sounds like a deal to me!
Economist (not scientist)...
Back to page topEconomist (not scientist) Lomborg actually is a guest of the Republicans in a house hearing - he is proposing a $2 per ton carbon tax.
So what you are telling me is that you don't accept global warming at all?
What we need is adult,...
Back to page topWhat we need is adult, good-faith discussion about these complicated issues, in which all sides are respected and held to high standards of argument. Anything less than that muddies the water, adds to public divisiveness, and wastes our time. Climate science is extremely complicated with a great number of factors involved. That is why I think it's important to read a number of books, by various authors with differing opinions.
If you truly want to find out more -- and aren’t just here to spew out DFL talking points -- I invite you to read three bestsellers currently on the market (all available from Amazon): “Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1500 years” by physicist Fred Singer and economist Dennis Avery, “The Chilling Stars” by Danish physicist Henrrik Svensmark and former BBC science writer Nigel Calder, and “The Politically Incorrect Guide to Global Warming and Environmentalism” by Chris Horner.
The first book notes that most of the earth’s recent warming occurred before 1940, and thus before much human-emitted CO2. Moreover, physical evidence shows 600 moderate warmings in the earth’s last million years. The evidence ranges from ancient Nile flood records, Chinese court documents and Roman wine grapes to modern spectral analysis of polar ice cores, deep seabed sediments, and layered cave stalagmites. This book documents the reality of a moderate, natural, 1500-year climate cycle on the earth. The second book talks about the why and how. The third book talks about why liberalism seems to be so anxious to capitalize on the global warming scare.
Avery and Singer have been in the Twin Cities a couple times before and have appeared on numerous Twin Cities talk shows (as recently as last Saturday). I believe they may be planning another visit. Perhaps we can persuade them to make a stop in Eden Prairie. Give me your contact information, EG, and I’ll make sure you get a front row seat.
Adult? Quoting you: If you...
Back to page topAdult?
Quoting you: If you truly want to find out more -- and aren’t just here to spew out DFL talking points...
You are accusing ME - when your original comment is a mishmash of talking points, without assessment?
Then why is your original piece basically a political polemic?
Honesty is the best policy.
Recycled talking points....
Back to page topRecycled talking points. The commentary would be hilarious if there were not so many gullible people sucking this nonsense up. I think this messenger deserves shooting because he is just riding the neocon bandwagon, telling the big lies that ExxonMobil sponsors. It's pathetic too, that these Republican hacks keep sending out the same message that blew up in their faces last election.
Well, the point of the...
Back to page topWell, the point of the "shoot the messenger" section is that ad hominem attacks really aren't much of an argument. If you can't refute someone's facts, you just call them "neocon" or "commie" or "nazi" or whatever. If someone's facts are sound, it shouldn't matter who is funding them - whether it's an oil company or a radical environmental group.
That's why I urge you and others to watch the movie "Great Global Warming Swindle" and try to get more than one side of the story.
Many scientists and even some left-leaning newspapers like the NY Times are starting to question some of the claims made by Al Gore. For example, Gore claims that sea levels will rise by 20 feet. The new U.N. study, on the other hand, puts the figure at closer to 20 INCHES. That's quite a difference!
Before we destroy our economy and start forcing everyone to live an 18th century lifestyle, doesn't it make sense to at least get your facts straight?
Is global warming a concern...
Back to page topIs global warming a concern no matter who or what caused it? What happens if sea levels rise 20 inches? Are there solutions that everyone can agree on? Please share any other resources on the issue.
(Karla Wennerstrom is the editor of the Eden Prairie News. She can be reached at editor@edenprairienews.com.)
Indeed. You make a good...
Back to page topIndeed.
You make a good point. There are consequences to our actions & inactions.
SOLUTIONS are important.
The article doesn't address Global Warming so much as tell us what to conclude politically. Intelligent people with a grasp of the science should be capable of doing that for themselves, if they truly study the issues.
If there is a cost to addressing Global Warming - there is also benefit from addressing Global Warming & its related effects upon our world.
Just as it is a benefit to Toyota for having the foresight to anticipate the future with the introduction of the hybrid Prius.
There is also a negative financial & quality of life consequence to IGNORING the effects of Global Warming.
Consequences will be visited upon us soon. There are signs now & consequences certainly visited upon one's children. They will be left to mop up the mess we make of this planet and this country.
The exact degree may be at issue - but not that it is happening. even the above article, despite referring to "hoaxes" admits that human activity has an effect on climate.
There are benefits to taking steps to mitigate our impact upon the world's climate.
Just as American auto companies are left in the lurch for ignoring the need for more economical vehicles which get better mileage & utilize new, alternative technologies.
Just as companies that had foresight - have benefited from that foresight.
Think about consequences next time you fuel you vehicle.
Your statements about it not...
Back to page topYour statements about it not really costing anything to develop an environmentally friendly economy prove 2 things.
1-You'll listen to anybody who says anything that falls in line with you predisposed thinking.
2-You haven't the beginning of a clue as to economics.
If developing environmentally were so cheap and easy, the Kyoto Protocol wouldn't call for tougher restrictions on developed countries while laxer restrictions on undeveloped countries.
With your line of thinking it would cost little or nothing to switch a plant from using one energy source to another. Or to just turn down the emission levels. If your thinking were correct, why wouldn't a developing country just switch over if the costs were negligible and the results so much better? Why would anyone build an energy inefficient plant, or environmentally unfriendly plant when an eco friendly were just as easy and cost effective?
Wind and solar energy are nowhere near as efficient as fossil fuels or nuclear energy. No where near, not even close. Recently solar panels were developed that are 40% efficient. Steam engines were more efficient than that. And it took technology 200 years to replace it.
Plus wind and solar are very sporadic. Solar power in the northwest would be useless. And wind power without constant breezes would be just as useless. They are both supplemental, but at this point in their evolution that’s all they can be.
Thanks for the attacks &...
Back to page topThanks for the attacks & putting words in my mouth. I did not say what you are saying.
1-You'll listen to anybody who says anything that falls in line with you predisposed thinking.
2-You haven't the beginning of a clue as to economics.
Well, I do appreciate your expert opinion & assessment of my grasp of the topic...
However, I don't see where you have managed to support either of the above 2 attacks.
Please explain - do you DENY Global Warming exists? You printed piece read differently than your later comment.
More and more folks are...
Back to page topMore and more folks are beginning to realize that Al Gore is pandering to the liberal elite, of which he wishes to be a member. Is the Earth warming? Of course it is, but not at the rate at which they would like you to believe. Go check out the facts. For every Al Gore there are many more "in the know" folks, you know, like scientists that will refute Al's claim that the sky is falling. Alot of this inforamtion is available if your willing to look for it. I think Al Gore has the fever, not planet Earth.
Why are you positioning this...
Back to page topWhy are you positioning this as Al Gore vs a handful of scientists?
The fact remains, this should not be politicized at all.
Gore is not running for anything.
This is about ver nearly the entire scientific community's assessment vs a few deniers.
Further, this HANDFUL decrying Global Warming are not even all scientists - and a few are not even expert in the field they criticize, as though they were expert in such, or have all done research in that area.
A number are funded by oil companies who have a vested interest in maintaining their hold on our sources of energy.
Yet, we keep hearing that science is somehow conspiring in the same way as the oil companies are possibly doing. Once you say that - we'd better start looking at motivations of the oil companies & benefit/risk assessments.
Point number one in the op ed states that questioning the credibility of the writer is not the same as refuting the argument. However, this is precisely the method you are employing by invoking Al Gore & political agendas.
Reiterating:
peer review studies. Testable theories & repeatable conclusions using good models.
Context is very important in framing the issue properly.
What we need is MORE debate,...
Back to page topWhat we need is MORE debate, EG, not less. "Shooting the messenger" is ultimately an attempt to shut down debate. "Consensus" and censorship are about shutting down debate.
Ask yourself, and answer honestly: Where did you get YOUR info? Do you actually read what skeptical scientists have to say, or you just take films like 'An Inconvenient Truth' at face value?
I suggest you give people you don't agree with a good listen, or read. You might learn quite a few things.
I am in awe of your...
Back to page topI am in awe of your self-important audacity, certainly. You make a few presumptions in your comment.
How is it that you deem it your charter to "talk down" to anyone in your responses above?
Your opinion is derived from reading a position you choose to espouse - and yet you accuse me of being ignorant?
You refer to arguments which are ad hominem attacks, "shooting the messenger," repeatedly, but employ a version of this yourself.
Again - science is about testable hypotheses, not debate hinged upon matters of opinion.
It depends upon peer reviewed studies - which replicate the results or assess the validity of the work based upon applicable, quantifiable data.
You are claiming I am making...
Back to page topYou are claiming I am making statements based upon a movie I haven't seen.
I guess I need to go see that "Inconvenient Truth."
Why are you so desperately arguing with something different than I've said?
What part of informed CONSENSUS shuts down debate?
Does the City Council know that every time they achieve consensus - its repressive? LOL.
Well, you won't hear this...
Back to page topWell, you won't hear this from Al Gore or his supporters, but we really do not have a good understanding of how our climate really works or what the long term weather trends are going to be across the planet. You may remember, back in the 1970's people were panicking about global COOLING:
Why did they come to that conclusion? Because for roughly 30 years, the earth was getting colder. On the other hand, why is global warming suddenly all the rage? Because from about 1970 to 1998, the earth got a little warmer. What's that? You didn't know that the earth hasn't gotten warmer in the past 8 years? It's true.
So, does that mean the planet is about to start cooling again? Is it going to continue getting warmer? Are we going to stay in place for a while? Is this something that man is doing somehow? We have no idea, folks. The earth has been getting warmer and colder for millions of years and not only do we not know exactly why that is, we have no effective way of differentiating between the earth's natural cooling and heating cycles and any temperature changes caused by man.
That's why, despite what you may have heard, there is no scientific consensus on global warming. To the contrary, "17,100 basic and applied American scientists," including "2,660 physicists, geophysicists, climatologists, meteorologists, oceanographers, and environmental scientists" have all signed a petition stating the following:
But, let's set those dissenting scientists aside for a moment. Let's say that we all agree that man is responsible for global warming and that we need to do something about it. Great, now what exactly would that "something" be?
The stock answer would probably be, "Well, we could sign on to the Kyoto Protocol." So, let's talk about that option. First of all, even most environmentalists will admit that Kyoto is supposed to be a tiny, "first step". As Reuters points out:
So, the Kyoto Protocol is just a drop in the bucket. Yet, even in socialistic, environmentally conscious Europe, they're not coming close to meeting their targets under Kyoto:
When push comes to shove, the reality is that few countries are going to damage their economies today by slashing emissions in order to stave off a hypothetical disaster that might or might not occur in 100 years.
Even if the United States and a few European countries were run by the most hard core, tree-hugging, frog-licking, granola-eating environmentalists ever to walk the earth, it wouldn't change the fact that the majority of the world still isn't going to dramatically cut their greenhouse gas emissions. So, what then? What happens when huge, developing nations like China and India keep right on producing greenhouse gases at an ever expanding clip? Are they going to be hit with sanctions? Are we going to go to war with them to stop them from efficiently increasing the size of their economies? Of course not. What that means is there is no "Kyoto Protocol 2" coming down the pike that is going to be the solution to this problem, if there is indeed a problem that needs to be solved in the first place.
So, does this mean we should do nothing? Not at all. We should continue researching the climate, global warming, and new clean-burning fuel technologies. We should also consider putting more resources into emissions reducing energy sources that have already been proven to be cost effective and efficient, like nuclear energy. But, those are suggestions based on logic and science -- not hysteria, unworkable international treaties, and political agendas disguised as scholarship. Unfortunately, that common sense approach will probably be given little heed by the environmental extremists and the members of the media that are aiding and abetting their cause.
1.) What exactly is that: "a...
Back to page top1.) What exactly is that:
"a tree-hugging, frog-licking, granola-eating environmentalist" you refer to above? LOL
I should think you will alarm people who walk the cereal aisle in the local grocery stores after reading that bit of fun. Now Eden Prairie residents had better think twice about the cereal bars they buy!!!!
2.) "Common Sense" is rarely common.
It is a tool of persuasion to refer to common sense as though it always has logical validity.
People can easily devise logical constructs which clearly show that "commonsense" logic does not guarantee correct answers.
Science requires a more rigorous standard of proof.
The OPINION piece also said:
"Yes, humans have an effect on climate, but it’s infinitesimally tiny compared with the vast natural forces which are constantly pushing global temperatures up and down."
Macro trends across the lifespan of the planet vs rapid changes - maybe we should trust the potential asteroid strike in 2036 will take care of it.
You want scientists. I've...
Back to page topYou want scientists. I've got scientists. How many do you want?
Here is a small sample of the side of the debate we almost never hear:
Appearing before the Commons Committee on Environment and Sustainable Development last year, Carleton University paleoclimatologist Professor Tim Patterson testified, "There is no meaningful correlation between CO2 levels and Earth's temperature over this [geologic] time frame. In fact, when CO2 levels were over ten times higher than they are now, about 450 million years ago, the planet was in the depths of the absolute coldest period in the last half billion years." Patterson asked the committee, "On the basis of this evidence, how could anyone still believe that the recent relatively small increase in CO2 levels would be the major cause of the past century's modest warming?"
Patterson concluded his testimony by explaining what his research and "hundreds of other studies" reveal: on all time scales, there is very good correlation between Earth's temperature and natural celestial phenomena such changes in the brightness of the Sun.
Dr. Boris Winterhalter, former marine researcher at the Geological Survey of Finland and professor in marine geology, University of Helsinki, takes apart Gore's dramatic display of Antarctic glaciers collapsing into the sea. "The breaking glacier wall is a normally occurring phenomenon which is due to the normal advance of a glacier," says Winterhalter. "In Antarctica the temperature is low enough to prohibit melting of the ice front, so if the ice is grounded, it has to break off in beautiful ice cascades. If the water is deep enough icebergs will form." . . .
The Antarctica has survived warm and cold events over millions of years. A meltdown is simply not a realistic scenario in the foreseeable future.
Gore tells us in the film, "Starting in 1970, there was a precipitous drop-off in the amount and extent and thickness of the Arctic ice cap." This is misleading, according to Ball: "The survey that Gore cites was a single transect across one part of the Arctic basin in the month of October during the 1960s when we were in the middle of the cooling period. The 1990 runs were done in the warmer month of September, using a wholly different technology."
Karl explains that a paper published in 2003 by University of Alaska professor Igor Polyakov shows that, the region of the Arctic where rising temperature is supposedly endangering polar bears showed fluctuations since 1940 but no overall temperature rise. "For several published records it is a decrease for the last 50 years," says Karl.
Dr. Richard Morgan, former advisor to the World Meteorological Organization and climatology researcher at University of Exeter, U.K. gives the details, "There has been some decrease in ice thickness in the Canadian Arctic over the past 30 years but no melt down. The Canadian Ice Service records show that from 1971-1981 there was average, to above average, ice thickness. From 1981-1982 there was a sharp decrease of 15% but there was a quick recovery to average, to slightly above average, values from 1983-1995. A sharp drop of 30% occurred again 1996-1998 and since then there has been a steady increase to reach near normal conditions since 2001."
Concerning Gore's beliefs about worldwide warming, Morgan points out that, in addition to the cooling in the NW Atlantic, massive areas of cooling are found in the North and South Pacific Ocean; the whole of the Amazon Valley; the north coast of South America and the Caribbean; the eastern Mediterranean, Black Sea, Caucasus and Red Sea; New Zealand and even the Ganges Valley in India. Morgan explains, "Had the IPCC used the standard parameter for climate change (the 30 year average) and used an equal area projection, instead of the Mercator (which doubled the area of warming in Alaska, Siberia and the Antarctic Ocean) warming and cooling would have been almost in balance."
Gore's point that 200 cities and towns in the American West set all time high temperature records is also misleading according to Dr. Roy Spencer, Principal Research Scientist at The University of Alabama in Huntsville. "It is not unusual for some locations, out of the thousands of cities and towns in the U.S., to set all-time records," he says. "The actual data shows that overall, recent temperatures in the U.S. were not unusual."
Carter does not pull his punches about Gore's activism, "The man is an embarrassment to US science and its many fine practitioners, a lot of whom know (but feel unable to state publicly) that his propaganda crusade is mostly based on junk science."
Reference:
http://www.royalgenes.biz/soc.retirement/thread205.html
Cute sloganeering does not...
Back to page topCute sloganeering does not pass muster as legitimate science. This is not a political issue, but you fashion it into one in this op ed.
As such, this opinion piece is filed correctly under "politics."
You have no real references for your article other than invoking names & mystery studies - that is hardly the scientific method. Its telling people what to think.
Rather like the 9 minute melo-dramamtic introduction segment to the silly little film you suggest - which seeks to impart a general sense of authority for the people in the film. Yet which never really explains why one should take these as standout authorities, nor the fact they really have no peer reviewed assessment of their claims.
It does not address the fact that government scientists are in agreement with the prevailing view that Global Warming is an issue of great importance & that human behavior impacts it significantly.
The article is a political polemic & rant. Surely the science deserves more than that. This is a community with a fairly well-educated population & certainly deserves better as well.
The handful of people you cite - are somehow more believable than all the science which has undergone the scrutiny of scientific peer review? Peer reviews by other credible scientists looking at the underlying science & conclusions. Assessing the data & agreeing that it is sound.
One should note that of all the peer reviews done - none have concluded Global Warming does not exist - and the conclusion IS in fact, that human activity has seriously affected rapid climate changes that will have dire consequences. There is no debate because the science is solid.
Extracting a piece of the pew article & adjusting it to your agenda - does not address the thrust of the science in that article.
Your conspiracy theory about science doesn't follow from your premises. Context & accuracy count for something in our world.
Referring to heretics - is a great line culled from the film you cite, but unfortunately it is a poor analogy - and doesn't even hang with the next line in your paragraph about McCarthyism.
You've conflated nonsense together into a sentence -
just because they appear in the same sentence does not make your conclusions rational, correct or in any way equivalent.
In the same way that if I mention your name in the same sentence as the Queen of England,
makes you neither English, nor Royalty.
More links for people who read the source material:
The Denial Machine
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=522784499045867811&q=global+warm...
http://www.giss.nasa.gov/edu/gwdebate/
http://www.climatesciencewatch.org/index.php/csw/details/holdren-aaas1/
http://www.livescience.com/environment/070312_solarsys_warming.html
EG, your article is filled...
Back to page topEG, your article is filled with speculation. Check out these phrases: “is due more likely due to...” -- “it is believed that...” -- “alternative explanations” -- “based on current estimates”.
You are demanding massive tax increases and possible worldwide poverty based on . . . a guess?
The point is, it's not enough to repeat propaganda, even isolated half-truths, created by those with an agenda intended to benefit themselves, be it snake oil or man-made global warming. Reality always wins.
First, you and others may have accepted the common GW myth with some degree of certainty in your own minds, I'm sorry to inform you that real science has no such certainty at all. A consensus doesn’t create facts.
Second, there is no correlation between atmospheric CO2 levels and global temperatures! It's just not there -- do a little research.
Third, as Dr. Timothy Ball relates, "The amount of our contributions relative to the global scale are miniscule. Consider CO2 where estimates of atmospheric CO2 range from 750 Gt (gigatons) to 820 GT or an error of estimate of 70 GT. We add 6 Gt to the atmosphere but remove 3 GT for a net contribution of 3 GT, in other words our contribution is about 4% of the error of the estimate. More important, every year when they calculate the carbon cycle there is at least 7 GT missing, hence it is known as the missing sink." Therefore, you should be able to see that our impact simply cannot be that significant!
He continues: "There is no doubt warming has occurred since approximately 1680, the nadir of the Little Ice Age. However, warming has also generally occurred since the major ice sheets started to melt about 18,000 years ago. In between there have been periods of cooling, the most recent from 1940 to 1980, hence the concern about cooling at that time. The mistake was in assuming the trend would continue. The fact is the climate changes all the time so you can pick any period you want to argue it was cooling or warming. The critical issue is what is causing the change and that is where it becomes very complicated."
So, I’ve given you an scientific argument and an economic argument. But now let me give you one more: a moral argument.
As Paul Driessen explains in the documentary “Great Global Warming”, environmental politics are having a devastating effect on Africa right now. Dreissen, a former environmental activist himself, reminds us that, in the name of environmental safety, a million Africans die every year from malaria, a disease which could have been prevented by DDT, which has been banned thanks to our country’s environmental policies.
“It was Environmental Defense and the foundations that created it that launched this nasty campaign against DDT just as they're doing on global warming. They just vilified anyone who tried to stand up in defense of DDT -- an inquisition threatening to burn them at the stake and they just beat them into silence.
“So that in the end you end up with the same situation you have now with global warming -- incredibly nasty attacks on companies, on users of energy -- a repeat of the same tactics, and they're gunning for the same power and control -- it’s not just over a chemical or the chemical industry or one particular insecticide (as in the case of DDT) but what is over the foundation of civilized society -- energy, abundant reliable and affordable energy, and you don't get there with wind power or solar power or any of these other clean, green, fanciful, imaginary energy technologies that they approve of.”
You are telling us that we must change our way of life by cutting our use of energy. For many Africans, however, changing their way of life simply means dying.
"Freeze or fry, the problem is always industrial capitalism, and the solution is always international socialism." -- Dr. Malcolm Ross, Harvard, commenting on the misuse of science to support political agendas
Please explain WHERE I...
Back to page topPlease explain WHERE I propose what you claim?
You are demanding massive tax increases and possible worldwide poverty based on . . . a guess?
Strawman arguments are beneath this topic.
Is Global Warming a MYTH - as you now propose?
That takes you opinion piece to a different place than I see in your printed piece.
You said: You are telling us that we must change our way of life by cutting our use of energy. For many Africans, however, changing their way of life simply means dying.
I said we need to cut our energy use? Again - where did I say this? - I didn't.
"We" -
Above you refer to "we," as though "we" are frozen in time - and what you propose about reductions, is reduced at an equal level from that point of stasis. EVERYBODY's got to tighten their belt...
That's a silly argument.
It's saying that because some of us are overweight - starving people in Africa ALSO need to diet. A false construction.
We no need an education to...
Back to page topWe no need an education to save the planet.
Regardless of warming's...
Back to page topRegardless of warming's causes, it is not a political issue. If someone actually thinks that industries dumping millions of tons of carbon pollutants into the atmosphere is good, they can breathe that air but I wouldn't think that it's a good idea to do that. This is our planet and even the smallest man-made change can cause some rather drastic global changes. Make some small changes on a personal level and the so-called "living in the 1800s" theory that the extremists who blindly state that global warming is a myth will never have to be thought of. My question to the naysayers is this: did the ice shelves melt during the previous warming trends? Do we actually know if they did? Wouldn't it be better to err on the side of caution than be reckless with the only planet we have or are you happy letting your children and grandchildren face the consequences of your actions?
This op ed is clearly...
Back to page topThis op ed is clearly written as a political OPINION piece. That is unfortunate.
There is a lot of stuff getting kicked out there which muddies the water with respect to the assessments by qualified scientists.
We'll be dancing in place with these arguments forever if it is relegated to political posturing & never actually devise a clear strategy to mitigate our impact on the planet.
And of course, this has nothing to do with the silly rhetoric about frog-licking (wherever did THAT come from?).
It comes down to - what impact we have on this planet will be visited upon us later in our lives & also one's children.
Deniers will have to face their children in the future. It is a betrayal of faith in the future of those children, to leave it to them to resolve.
The economist mentioned above - Lomborg actually testified as a guest of House Republicans in congress this past week - which was televised on C-SPAN.
Despite Lomborg being a skeptic of sorts, who does not deny global warming nor a significant human impact, though does have a view contrary to most of the legitimate scientific community - he proposes a carbon tax to help address global warming.
Which is not any position I am specifically endorsing.
Only pointing this out to indicate that the "expert" witness (I believe he is the only one who would accept said invitation) was invited by conservative members of the House & even he, seems to find a need for action.
He addresses it from an economic perspective.
There were a few problems with his testimony the other day - because without some initiated action, there is scant likelihood of follow up (how do you "follow up" something which is not begun?) & instead we'll sit pat awaiting newer solutions in some unstrived-for future when we could have acted.
Mittens, these replies are...
Back to page topMittens, these replies are to you. (EG apparently has made it a goal to have the last word on every thread in this conversation).
Mittens, I am not against you making decisions for yourself -- whether it’s a vegetarian lifestyle or avoid using cosmetics or whatever -- but when you start fooling with people’s personal liberty and imposing heavy penalties for noncompliance, then yes, it DEFINITELY becomes a political issue.
How much carbon dioxide do you think man is dumping into the air? Do you know even know what you’re talking about?
Best selling author Michael Crichton (“State of Fear”) uses this analogy: I "Imagine the composition of the Earth's atmosphere as a football field. Most of the atmosphere is nitrogen. So, starting from the goal line, nitrogen takes you all the way to the 78 yard line. And most of what's left is oxygen. Oxygen takes you to the 99 yard line. Most of what remains is the inert gas argon. Argon brings you within 3 1/2 inches of the goal line. That's pretty much the thickness of the chalk stripe. And how much of the remaining three inches is carbon dioxide? One inch.
"You are told carbon dioxide has increased in the last 50 years. Do you know how much it has increased, on our football field? Three-eighths of an inch -- less than the thickness of a pencil. Yet you are asked to believe that this tiny change has driven the entire planet into a dangerous warming pattern."
Have there been periods of warming that were definitely NOT human assisted. The answer is obviously YES.
Well, glaciers once covered most of North America. All of this happened before Henry Ford built the first Model T.
Where you’re probably sitting right now at one time used to be covered by a mountain of snow and ice. How did that melt?
There is warming going on right now on Mars and Jupiter and Pluto. How can it be if man is not there to cause it? Could it be . . . the sun?
The answer is, I don’t know. And you don’t know. And EG doesn’t know. And until we know for sure, it is insane to wreck our economy and take away people’s freedom.
Well, let me turn this around, Mittens. If the global warming extremists are wrong, do I get my tax money back?
Yikes! Mittens, this is fear mongering. Right now there are children all around the world that go to bed fearing that the world is burning up and we are all about to die. Thanks to people like you, kids scared to death that there will be no tomorrow. Thanks a lot!
Everone needs to just calm down. It just isn’t going to get that warm.
And there isn’t much you can do about it anyway. Even if we totally shut down our economy, what are you going to do about China and India?
By the way, there is a group of grade school kids in Colorado who reviewed the evidence and you’ll be happy to know, they concluded that global warming is definitely NOT caused by man
A new TV game show asks “Are you smarter than a fifth grader”.
Al Gore is not a scientist. On the rare occasions when he tells the truth, he omits important details. The glacier on Mount Kilimanjaro is melting ... but it's been melting for 6,000 years. A computer model indicates the ice pack on Greenland might melt ... but not for 1,000 years. The devistating hurricanes that were predicted for 2006 never happened. The local meteorologists can't tell you with conviction what happened last NIGHT and you expect them to somehow know what the world will be like in 100 years?
It’s time that everyone take a breath, calm down and start learning about BOTH sides of this issue instead of just blindly accepting everything some politician tells you.
Wow, I leave for a three-day...
Back to page topWow, I leave for a three-day break and miss out on the global warming-o-rama rant of my dreams.
I'd chime in, but this guy says it better.
Leah -- I searched the site...
Back to page topLeah -- I searched the site you reference for proposed “solutions” to global warming and found two: Global carbon taxes and carbon offsets (aka “cap and trade). Both require government to get bigger. Both will mean much higher energy prices for consumers. But let’s look at these solutions in detail:
(1) Global carbon tax
This requires setting up an Orwellian worldwide taxing authority to literally tax countries who do not comply with some arbitrary limit. What happens if a country refuses to pay? Do we go to war with them?
(2) Carbon Offsets (aka “cap and trade”)
This is a shell game that allows some people to continue polluting because they’ve purchased emissions “credits” from those who have managed to stay under some arbitrary limit.
Of course, setting up a carbon market or imposing a carbon tax will boost the price of high-carbon fuels.
Carbon offsets, by the way, is how Al Gore explains why he gets to use 20 times more energy than the average American family, why he gets to have a heated pool, why he gets to fly around in private jets. And he purchases carbon offsets from a company he owns. So you have the high priest of global warming hysteria telling you that you have to change but he doesn't have to -- nice.
But let’s look at the cost of making these changes. As you may know, five governors have already committed their states to carbon emissions cuts. In California, the goal is to cut carbon emissions to 80% by 2050. It’s an ambitious plan that will provide very little environmental benefit while costing California taxpayers a ton of money. The U.N.’s worst case computer model says that the earth will warm by about 1.3 degrees. So, by my math, California's 145 million tons will slow warming by about 0.004 degrees -- an amount too small to measure.
Meanwhile every 7 to 10 days a new coal firing power plant starts up in China.
The other disturbing item in your link is the Q and A section. One of the questions: “But isn’t there still a debate about whether humans are causing global warming”. Answer: “No. The debate is settled”.
That is exactly the problem with the pro-global warming side. Lacking the will to debate the issue, supporters of global warming hysteria are now trying to shut down the debate. This is not how science works. This is how totalitarian religions work. We need more debate, not less. We need solutions that make sense, not more excuses for bigger and bigger government.
Oh . . . and welcome back. Please take time to enjoy the weather - it's great.
Global climates face threat...
Back to page topGlobal climates face threat of fearsome changes
Andy Coghlan @ NewScientist
http://tinyurl.com/2ahjkx
Quote:
Within a century, half of the world's climates as we know them will have vanished forever as a direct result of global warming, taking thousands of species with them.
-----------
Mathematical models are no way to save the planet - Fred Pearce
FOR some they are irreplaceable guides to a complex world. For others they are a curse, a barrier to understanding and a fig leaf for the self-serving and plain lazy. But love them or loathe them, much of our world is governed by mathematical models, and as the Pilkeys argue in Useless Arithmetic, often the more we are forced to rely on these "modern-day oracles", the less reliable they prove to be.
This is an easy and persuasive read. There is no maths, just plain argument. Take what was once the world's most famous fishery, on Canada's Grand Banks. If the fisheries scientists' models had been correct, the waters would still be teeming with cod. Instead they abruptly emptied in 1992, and show no signs of recovering.
With generous references to this magazine's Debora MacKenzie, the authors explain how the models used to calculate a sustainable catch were skewed by ...
If people are going to read - they probably need to read the real deal.
Arctic Voices Global Warming Tour comes to the Twin Cities April 30, 2007
A great opportunity to learn something, PB - without swindle movies!
Is Antarctica melting? The...
Back to page topIs Antarctica melting?
The link you provided sure seems to support that idea. It discusses yet another doomsday scenario which plays on people’s emotions.
Global warming enthusiasts in general like to constantly spin out fearsome tales that human-caused warming will melt the polar ice caps, cause the oceans to rise by 20 feet or more and devastate major cities around the world.
John Williams, the man who is quoted in your article claims: "It's the coldest climates that would be replaced. They would be similar, in 100 years time, but several degrees warmer, so glaciers would retreat and ice would disappear from mountains such as Kilimanjaro in Tanzania."
Here's what Al Gore said in the introduction to his "Inconvenient" documentary: "We are destabilizing the massive mound of ice on Greenland and the equally enormous mass of ice propped up on top of islands in West Antarctica, threatening a worldwide increase in sea levels of as much as 20 feet."
Or listen to Greenpeace: "Between the Greenland ice sheet and the Western Antarctic ice sheet the world could well be facing a 43-foot rise in sea level if we do not drastically curb our greenhouse gas emissions. Even a small fraction of this much sea level rise would be an economic and humanitarian disaster."
And the mainstream press has followed this lead. The Los Angeles Times ran a headline in June warning: "Greenland's Ice Sheet Is Slip, Sliding Away". They wrote: "The massive glaciers are deteriorating twice as fast as they were five years ago. If the ice thaws entirely, sea level would rise 21 feet."
But a funny thing happened on the way to global warming: many scientists are now questioning these assertions.
David Bromwich, a professor of atmospheric sciences and researcher with the Byrd Polar Research Center at Ohio State University used to be pro-global warming (and used to be extensively quoted by Gore) but now expresses doubt.
"It's hard to see a global warming signal coming from the mainland of Antarctica right now," Bromwich told the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science in San Francisco. "We're looking for a small signal that represents the impact of human activity, and it is hard to find at the moment."
Last year, Bromwich's research group reported in the journal "Science" that, contrary to the predictions of climate models, Antarctic snowfall hadn't increased in the past half-century. This year, he noted that temperatures weren't cooperating either, saying: "What we see now is that the temperature regime is broadly similar to what we saw before with the snowfall. In the last decade or so, both have gone down. The best we can say right now is that the climate models are somewhat inconsistent with the evidence that we have for the last 50 years from continental Antarctica."
Charles Allegre, who was one of the original signers of the "World Scientists Warning to Humanity" 15 years ago now says he is not so sure. In a recent article entitled: "The Snows Of Kilimanjaro" that ran last September in the French weekly L'Express, Allegre cited evidence that Antarctica is GAINING ice and that Kilimanjaro's retreating snow caps, among other so-called warning signs, come from natural causes. "The cause of this climate change is unknown,” Allegre says, adding that there's no basis to say, as Gore does, the "science is settled."
University of Copenhagen Professor Bjarne Andersen, an expert on thermodynamics. "It is impossible to talk about a single temperature for something as complicated as the Earth," he says, which explains the repeated failure of computer models to predict even the past.
"A temperature can be defined only for a homogenous system," he says. "Furthermore, the climate is not governed by a single temperature. Rather, differences in temperatures drive the processes and create the storms, sea currents, thunder, etc. which make up the climate."
While Gore & Co. make it look like this melt could happen, no credible scientist believes it.
As environmental reporter Gregg Easterbrook put it, "Gore says the entire Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets could melt rapidly; the film then jumps to animation of Manhattan flooded. Well, all that ice might melt really fast, and a UFO might land in London too."
So, you need to ask yourself, why all the wild and crazy doomsday scenarios?
For the answer, we need to to to the man who is credited for starting the current global warming hysteria, NASA’s James Hanson. He explains in Scientific American that in the past "emphasis on extreme scenarios" had been "appropriate" when "the public and the decision makers were relatively unaware of the global warming issues".
So there you have one of NASA’s top scientists admitting that they needed to intentionally LIE to the public in order to scare them and get their attention.
The trouble is the lies persist. The extreme scenarios continue. The scare tactics go on. We're still in crisis.
Hansen himself was caught making a wild prediction of his own in 1988 when he predicted that temperatures would rise over the next decade by 0.35 degrees celsius. He ended up overshooting the real number by 0.11 degrees or 219 percent.
Clearly, such doomsday prophets have an agenda. But do they have the facts?
A much publicized study released March 2 by scientists at the University of Colorado said Antarctica is losing as much as 36 cubic miles of ice each year.
Sounds like a lot, but it's a mere ice cube compared with Antarctica's 7 million cubic miles of glacial ice. And how much would the seas rise when this 36-cubic-mile chunk of ice joined Earth's 320 million cubic miles of ocean? The study says a whopping 0.4 millimeters, or 0.0115 inch, per year.
About 20,000 years ago -- slightly before the first SUV -- global sea levels were 400 feet lower than they are now. In other words, the seas were rising long before the dreaded Industrial Revolution.
We're also told that the Larsen B ice shelf on the western side of Antarctica is collapsing. Yes, it is warming. But that's been the case for decades. Besides, it comprises just 2 percent of the continent; the rest of the continent . . . is cooling. Yikes!
A research team from the University of Missouri recently analyzed data from the European Space Agency's radar satellites ERS-1 and ERS-2 and calculated that between 1992 and 2003, the East Antarctic ice sheet gained about 45 billion tons of ice, thickening at an average rate of 1.8 centimeters a year.
In short, I wouldn't buy that ocean-front property in Arizona just yet.
Are you sure its ME that...
Back to page topAre you sure its ME that needs the last word? - I see you posting onto every single one as well.
WHY not just post the link, in order for people to do their own research, instead of telling them what to think?
What's Known
Scientists know with virtual certainty that:
* Human activities are changing the composition of Earth's atmosphere. Increasing levels of greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere since pre-industrial times are well-documented and understood.
* The atmospheric buildup of CO2 and other greenhouse gases is largely the result of human activities such as the burning of fossil fuels.
http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/science/stateofknowledge.html
Your link sources the latest...
Back to page topYour link sources the latest IPCC report -- the fourth in the series -- which, we're told, now states that humans are "very likely" causing global warming. But the report has been widely criticized as a political -- not a scientific document.
You may remember the previous version of the report -- the third version -- which included the famous "hockey stick" graph (developed by the U of Mass's Michael Mann)? This graph showed a sudden and abrupt temperature escalation supposedly due to man's activities.
Mann neglected to include in his calculations the Medieval Warming Period (1100-1250) when it was warmer than it is now (and SUVs did not exist) or the Little Ice Age of the 16th Century. His flawed results were exposed when two Canadian researchers tried to replicate his study.
Author Michael Crichton noted, "They found grave errors in his work . . . calculation errors, data used twice, data filled in and a computer program that generated a hockey stick out of any data fed into it — even random data."
Is this the same IPCC report that you now believe as gospel?
It's interesting to note, isn't it, that the "hockey stick" has been dropped from this year's summary.
The second version of the IPCC report was adopted by a fairly balanced group of participating scientists in 1995. Then the leader, BD Santor, acting without approval of the IPCC, changed the report significantly to enhance the emphasis on imminent doom.
Fredrick Seitz, president emeritus of Rockefeller University and former president of the National Academy of Sciences, said: "I have never witnessed a more disturbing corruption of the peer-review process than the events that led to this IPCC report. Nearly all the changes worked to remove skepticism with which many scientists regard global warming changes."
This report will not be released until May -- all we have right now is the summary -- but it may not be any different. We shall see. MIT professor of meteorology Richard Lindzen, who specialized in the study of clouds and water vapor for the IPCC's 2001 report, said this summary is primarily the work of political appointees and not scientists.
Again, politics -- not science -- seems to be driving this.
Christopher Landsea, who now is science and operations officer at the National Hurricane Center in Miami, resigned from the IPCC's fourth assessment team two years ago, saying the IPCC's public statements were "far outside current scientific understandings."
Harvard University physicist Lubos Motl suspects the technical report will be "adjusted" to fit the summary — a practice he calls "scientific misconduct." "These people," he says on his Web site, "are openly declaring that they are going to commit scientific misconduct that will be paid for by the United Nations."
As bad as that may be, shaping public policy on the basis of politicized "science" is even worse.
WHERE IS THE CENSORSHIP YOU...
Back to page topWHERE IS THE CENSORSHIP YOU CLAIM?
You've found all this, which you say is true, but again drives one position from a segment of fringe deniers.
It also takes selective slices & now invokes author Michael Crichton, who is no authority of any sort. Where are the peer review studies?
The IPCC being criticized -- by whom? Criticism is the same as refutation?
Why does the fact that there have been other environmental forces, before humans, which have impacted the globe - become a refutation of human caused effects?
Where is the censorship you claim? Your initial proposition is that there is censorship & practically that people are being killed over this "suppressed" stuff. There have been hearings in congress - and who kept the people you site - from appearing?
Something is amiss in this in a very oblique way & it feels a little like a conspiracy theory.
Perhaps that upcoming event on April 30th, mentioned on the Will Steger site is a good way for people to get their ducks in a row.
Examples of censorship on...
Back to page topExamples of censorship on the global warming issue.
Actually I gave you a few in my original article. The Wall Street Journal offers another example. Two U.S. Senators attempted to use their position to cut off funding for scientists who do not agree with their point of view.
That's censorship.
Actually the term "global warming denier" is itself an effort to shut down debate. The meaning is clear -- if you disagree you are in the same class as Holocaust deniers and should not be heard.
My purpose is not to prove you wrong, but to get you to stop and consider another point of view. As the WSJ article points out:
Don't you agree?
Maybe we should ask another...
Back to page topMaybe we should ask another Eden Prairie resident ...
(Karla Wennerstrom is the editor of the Eden Prairie News. She can be reached at editor@edenprairienews.com.)
Is Paul Douglas still an...
Back to page topIs Paul Douglas still an Eden Prairie resident? I thought he just bought a $2 million estate on Lake Minnetonka. He and Al Gore can both fight global warming together . . . from their heated swimming pools. Do as I say not as I do. Yikes.
Paul Douglas as an expert on global warming? Meteorologists use computer models to predict the weather in much the same manner as climatologists use them to predict the rising sea levels and the extinction of polar bears. If he can't get this weekend's forecast right, why would you believe his predictions for 2050?
Dave Dahl once said on the radio that they had an 80% chance of getting tomorrow's forecast right. The day after that, a 50/50 chance. Beyond that, they basically have no idea.
Dave Dahl, by the way, is 100% on the opposite side of the global warming issue as Paul Douglas. So even among Twin Cities meterologists . . . no consensus.
This is from blogger Joe...
Back to page topThis is from blogger Joe Malchow:
Global Warming Groundhog Day
One unfailingly entertaining aspect about the global Global Warming fracas is the intellectual sophistry -- though that may be too flattering a word, since sophists possess the veneer of plausability -- of the environmentalist movement. The argument, as it is played out in a peculiarly fractured way in the mass media, goes something like this:
— Listen, we’ve got global warming.
— Mmm.
— So will you sign on to this protocol?
— Nah. Gutting American industry doesn’t seem like a good idea to me.
— But the world is going to end in ten years.
— So how will not opening a few new car factories help? And wouldn’t this protocol encourage our chief competitors to open their own new factories while we’re hamstrung here?
— Because it will. Sign here, please.
— I don’t think that’s good policy.
— Listen. Why do you hate science?
— I don’t hate s—
— You’re a crazy Christian, aren’t you?
— What? Yes, the earth is getting warmer but this cycle’s been happening f—
— What we need to do then is sign this protocol here. Ready to sign?
— …
— Here’s a pen.
— …
— Sign.
— Look, the problem is that even if you can throw off a million years’ worth of evidence and demonstrate that human industry, in the plink of time we’ve had here, has caused a planet-killing shift in atmosphere, your ideas about fixing it are absolutely unworkable. I mean, it’s a gnat compared to the leviathan weight of human history you claim led us here.
— Stop it. OK? Just stop. Look at this picture. It shows a mountain with snow. Now, that was fifty years ago. Here’s another picture. What do you see?
— No snow.
— No snow! How can you not believe in global warming now, you planet-hating jerk? Don’t you understand that there is a scientific consensus? A consensus!
— Right, I know it’s getting warmer.
— Then sign on to my policy slate. Don’t read it. Just sign.
— No.
— When will we ever convince you Global Warming skeptics?
And that’s how it goes. For a glimpse of how this sort of tack is taken against President Bush, read this post on National Review’s The Corner, which details all the various times Bush has “finally” admitted the existence of Global Warming.
While this is not mine to...
Back to page topWhile this is not mine to answer -
You don't think this has gotten out of hand?
Above you accused me of all sorts of things - even arguments I did not espouse, in order to to have something to rail against.
straw man |strɔ møn|
noun
an argument compared to a straw image; a sham.
• a sham argument set up to be defeated.
But you are telling us that mainstream Global Warming people will shout you down - yet, you seem to be the most strident in following up your op ed!
You accused me of responding to every post, as though I want to control the conversation - yet never count yours?
I have provided links & other people have provided links - to investigate the positions at one's leisure.
Now please -
Dissenting a link to Paul Douglas' site?
Arguing against Paul Douglas because he is successful?
Arguing against Paul Douglas because he's a meteorologist (& not a webmaster, I guess - don't other residents & occupations have an opportunity)?
What does tomorrow's one day forecast have to do with the entire Global Warming issue?
And then you post a long inflammatory diatribe by a blogger. The person can't speak for themselves here - you have to quote a blog, as though it counts for anything in this discussion? Now THAT's "rich!"
I don't think you've done well by your arguments, if that's the culmination. It loses the flavor of "investigating the issue."
Time to leave it alone & for people to read the links instead.
Just to be clear - it is not...
Back to page topJust to be clear - it is not success that is at issue, it is hypocrisy.
Why do environmentalists need heated pools? Why doesn't Al Gore fly coach instead of insisting on a private plane? Why does Ted Kennedy fight that wind farm that they want to put up in view of his vacation home?
People who want to tell the rest of us how to live ought to walk the walk. Carbon offsets are simply a way for privileged liberal elites to lecture us unwashed peasants while they continue live like royalty.
Think about that the next time you see a "John Kerry" bumper sticker pasted on the back of an SUV. Think about that the next time you see how little money liberals donate to charities vs. conservatives.
I have shown you where your science is faulty. I have shown you very serious problems with your IPCC report. I have shown you several examples where "consensus" politics is threatening people's careers.
But global warming politics is ultimately not about the temperature at all -- it is about the control and coercion of others.
Here are sources for the...
Back to page topHere are sources for the original article. If I left any out, please let me know.
Richard Lindzen article -- “Climate of Fear” -- Wall St Journal, Wednesday April 12, 2006. http://www.opinionjournal.com/extra/?id=110008220
Timothy Ball’s remarks: http://www.canadafreepress.com/2007/global-warming020507.htm
Bill Gray’s remarks: http://www.denverpost.com/search/ci_3899807
Learn more about the movie: “The Great Global Warming Swindle”: http://www.channel4.com/science/microsites/G/great_global_warming_swindle/index.html
Also, you can watch the documentary for free online. I believe a DVD is either out now or will be available soon.
Discussion of Lambert column including a link to the original article:
http://www.fraterslibertas.com/2007_03_01_archive.html#6507697645750169512#6507697645750169512
Wikipedia discussion about David Legates: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Legates
Article about George Taylor: http://www.capitalpress.info/main.asp?SectionID=75&SubSectionID=767&ArticleID=30773&TM=33287.55
Have any of you read...
Back to page topHave any of you read anything you could share with us that caused you to question your own opinion on global warming? What was it and why was it so compelling?
(Karla Wennerstrom is the editor of the Eden Prairie News. She can be reached at editor@edenprairienews.com.)
This one gives me...
Back to page topThis one gives me pause:
ExxonMobil funds global warming sceptics
http://euobserver.com/7/23636
http://www.pulsetc.com/
"save the planet" upper left hand corner.
Addendum:
I guess I want to know how many bevies in a concensus.
How many revolutions in spin.
And why that mean ol' Carl Sagan stirred things up.
"The political Left’s...
Back to page top"The political Left’s favorite argument is that there is no argument. ..." -- Thomas Sowell, “Global Hot Air”.
There are more than 17,200 scientists who say that:
On the other hand, the IPCC report -- the UN's pro-global warming report -- includes the names of scientists who did not even read the report. One scientist, Lindzen sued to have his name removed, and other had theirs removed as well. Look it up if you doubt it. Other scientists have had their names removed as well.
Dr. Richard S. Lindzen, the Alfred P. Sloan professor of meteorology at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and one of the world's leading atmospheric scientists, told a standing-room only audience at a briefing sponsored by the Cooler Heads Coalition in the U.S. Senate Environment Committee Room, that the IPCC process is driven by politics rather than science.
What are some of the problems with the IPCC process, according to Lindzen? It uses summaries to misrepresent what scientists say. It uses language that means different things to scientists and laymen. It exploits public ignorance over quantitative matters. It exploits what scientists can agree on, while ignoring disagreements, to support the global warming agenda. And it exaggerates scientific accuracy and certainty and the authority of undistinguished scientists.
The "most egregious" problem with the IPCC's forthcoming report, said Lindzen, "is that it is presented as a consensus that involves hundreds, perhaps thousands, of scientists . . . and none of them was asked if they agreed with anything in the report except for the one or two pages they worked on."
But many scientists are afraid to dissent from the "consensus", says Lindzen. "Scientists who dissent from the alarmism have seen their funds disappear, their work derided, and themselves labeled as industry stooges."
Keep in mind, the MIT prof. bashing the IPCC report is credited as one of its LEAD AUTHORS!
But, how about Dr. John Christy, another IPCC "lead Author"? Hmmmm...
http://www.co2science.org/scripts/CO2ScienceB2C/articles/V6/N22/EDIT.jsp
"Will increases in CO2 affect the climate significantly? Are significant changes occurring now? Climate models suggest the answer is yes, real data suggest otherwise."
My admonition, my plea to...
Back to page topMy admonition, my plea to everyone is to keep an open mind. The science is not settled. There is no consensus. And I promise I will consider ANY evidence that challenges my point of view.
Should skeptics of global warming have their funding cut off, as EG suggests? We need more debate, not less.
My experience is that the popular media LOVES to scare us with doomsday scenarios.
Remember Y2K? -- airplanes were supposed to drop out of the sky as soon as the clock struck midnight.
Remember killer bees, SARS, silent spring, Hale Bopp, the Bermuda Triangle? There were people that were as strongly invested in those scares as the fans of global warming are today.
Remember the shark scare from a couple years ago. It turns out that the number of shark attacks was pretty much average for that year. But media coverage causes people to fear.
Do you remember nuclear winter scare? Carl Sagan appeared on the Tonight Show 40 times and Paul Erhlich appeared 25 times to warn about nuclear winter. There were congressional hearings. There was even a prime time special dramatizing the issue. The problem was that the science proved faulty. No one talks about nuclear winter anymore and most scientists have quietly stopped talking about it.
Sagan tried one last time to stir up things after the first Gulf War when Saddam Hussein set all the Kuwaiti oil wells on fire. He warned that there would be a worldwide winter as a result of the smoke from those fires. It didn't happen.
The way global warming is being sold is through scare mongering. You draw a lot of scary diagrams and show people pictures of flooded streets and expect them to comply.
This is not how science works. This is how politics works.
Consider, for example, the claim that the polar bears are facing extinction thanks to global warming. Al Gore’s movie shows an animation of a cute, cuddly polar bear helplessly swimming through the ocean, unable to find rest because all of the glaciers are gone.
The headlines couldn't be more grim: "Polar Bears could face extinction"; (Washington Post). "Polar bears face serious threats from global warming" (National Geographic). "Be worried, be very worried" (CNN/Time Magazine). All of this is a huge surprise to one polar bear biologist who insists that the the polar bear population is steady or rising.
But just a couple weeks ago I heard another ad. It was from another global warming advocacy group. According to the ad, polar bears are going away unless we do something right now.
So -- The lying has to stop. The scare tactics have to stop. And the discussion ought to continue.
EDITED: Chill out. Have a...
Back to page topEDITED:
Chill out. Have a cookie.
TWENTY QUESTIONS FOR GLOBAL...
Back to page topTWENTY QUESTIONS FOR GLOBAL WARMING ALARMISTS
(compiled from various sources)
(1) The earth has warmed and cooled numerous times in the past and many of those temperature variations have been much greater than anything we've experienced in recent history. So, since we humans do not understand how those temperature swings occurred, how can we be sure that the very mild warming we've seen so far hasn't been caused by normal changes in our climate? Are you willing to gamble our economy on it?
(2) If man's activity is responsible for the roughly one degree increase in temperature over the last century, then why did the global temperatures drop from 1940 to 1975 even though mankind's production of CO2 went up during that period?
(3) We can't accurately predict whether it is going to rain or shine one week from now. We can't accurately predict the weather one year from now (remember the devastating hurricanes that were predicted for 2006?). And in both cases, it is extremely difficult to prove causation. What makes you think Al Gore knows what the weather will be like in 2107? (This is actually understated -- climate is much harder to predict than the weather).
(4) Mars and other planets have also been experiencing global warming. Since man can't be a factor on all of these other planets, doesn't it make sense that a common factor -- perhaps the sun -- might be to blame?
(5) In the 1970's, the consensus among environmentalists was about global COOLING. Now it turns out that was simply a period of global temperatures getting cooler. So -- where did we go wrong in the 1970's and how do we know that we're not making the same mistake today?
(6) Global warming alarmists like to tell you that there is a "scientific consensus". But more than 17,200 scientists have signed a statement disagreeing with popular global warming theory. And, forgive my pun, they are only the tip of the iceberg. Every week more scientists come forward to express their skepticism. How can anyone credibly claim that there are no real scientists and climatologists that have objected to global warming theology? How can anyone credibly claim that there is consensus on this issue? And what do poll results have to do with science anyway?
(7) You cannot separate proposed solutions from this debate. Even if mankind was responsible for global warming, how would the solutions being offered (like Kyoto or carbon credit schemes) fix the problem? Big developing countries like India and China are exempt from Kyoto and unlikely to sign any deal that ruins their economy. Europe isn't anywhere near to meeting its Kyoto goals. Even backers of Kyoto admit that Kyoto won't solve the problem even if all of its targets are met. To put it another way, if a doctor told you that you had an incurable disease, would you still diet and exercise anyway?
(8) Bill Bryson, a believer of global warming, wrote in his book, "Short History of Nearly Everything" that "for most of its history until fairly recent times, the general pattern was for the earth to be hot with no permanent ice anywhere". Doesn't that seem to suggest that despite everything we hear about the "record high temperatures", the global temperature is quite a bit cooler than it has been throughout much of earth's history?
(9) Carl Zimmer noted in Discover Magazine that there were periods in the earth's history that much higher levels of CO2 but DID NOT have significantly higher temperatures. Doesn't this cast doubt on the relationship between CO2 levels and the earth's temperature?
(10) If, in geologic history, rises in CO2 have resulted in rises in global temperature, then why does the scientific evidence indicate that the rise in CO2 levels tends to FOLLOW the rise in temperatures by between 600 and 1,000 years?
(11) Scientists often point out that there seems to be a much closer relationship between the earth's temperature and solar activity. Doesn't that seem to strongly suggest that the sun, not mankind, is more likely responsible?
(12) Why do the global warming faithful point to the Mount Kilimanjaro glacier as evidence of global warming when most of the melting occurred before global warming could have been a factor?
(13) Why do the global warming faithful point to declines in polar bear populations when, according to the actual science, polar bear populations are between four and five times larger than they were in the 1950s.
(14) Why did global warming scientists at one time try to pass off the now discredited "hockey stick" graph as objective science?
(15) Global warming theology predicts that temperatures in the stratosphere will rise at a much faster rate than surface temperatures. Why is the exact opposite taking place?
(16) If global warming is rapidly melting the ice caps, why is the Antarctic ice sheet thickening (as was reported in the journal Science)?
(17) Why does Al Gore find it necessary to describe Manhattan being deluged under 20 feet of water, when the IPCC's third report mentioned a top level during the time period discussed of 3 feet sea level rise, the fourth report revised it to 17 inches and, in order to get that figure, they had to deliberately select a variability trough as the starting point and a variability peak as an end-point or else the actual trends would indicate a maximum rise of about the same levels that have been experienced since the Little Ice Age came to an end?
(18) Why do liberals refuse to acknowledge that wealth and prosperity are the cures for poverty and pollution? Countries with good economies tend to have fewer people in poverty and tend to have cleaner air and water.
(19) If people like Al Gore really believe their own hype and think it is necessary to lecture the rest of us how to live, why can't they get by on less than 20 times the amount of energy that a regular family uses? Why does John Travolta lecture us but refuses to give up his five private jets?. I mean, if they really believe the world is about to end, shouldn't they be making the greatest sacrifices to try to save it?
(20) Why do leftists use the phrase "the stakes are high" every time they are about to do something utterly destructive?
I second that cookie remark....
Back to page topI second that cookie remark. Of course, I'm long time believer in cookies.
Although, I try to keep an open mind to the arguments given by cookie skeptics.
Oh please, PB. You are...
Back to page topOh please, PB. You are starting to sound a little shrill.
You have written an op ed contrary to prevailing scientific views. Good job.
Cited conspiracy theories - peppered it with the fringe justifications to your heart's content,
declared that you have vanquished all in your wake - and seem to need to keep hammering it.
Relax. I thought you wrote that you want by intent, BOTH sides presented. (but maybe not?)
You are way too fixated on Al Gore.
Addendum:
...and a need to have the last word.
Read this story and tell me...
Back to page topRead this story and tell me the world hasn't lost its collective mind:
"Sydney Dims Lights to Protest Emissions"
http://ap.washingtontimes.com/dynamic/stories/A/AUSTRALIA_BLACKOUT?SITE=DCTMS&SECTION=HOME
Looks like a an upcoming...
Back to page topLooks like a an upcoming storyline for the show South Park. I can see them ripping Australians to shreds with this folly.
File this under "empty...
Back to page topFile this under "empty gesture":
A region of Belgium is going to impose a tax on barbecuing. The reason? To save the world from global warming.
Every time you throw some burgers and brats on the grill, you will have to pay the government a fine of 20 euros (about $27 US).
How do they plan to enforce this silliness? Helicopters. Every day, helicopters (burning fossil fuels) will be flying over homes, checking to see if people are violating the rules.
http://www.agoravox.com/article.php3?id_article=5816
http://en.rian.ru/world/20070403/62999935.html
We are rounding the cape on...
Back to page topWe are rounding the cape on this opinion piece, I fear: Going quickly to a "News of the Weird" article.
Every time you throw some burgers and brats on the grill, you will have to pay the government a fine of 20 euros (about $27 US).
"You will have to pay 20 euros?..."
IF one presumes this story is true as presented - the Belgian government wants ME to pay a fee? I haven't seen the bill.
In Euros or dollars?
I have to find this amusing in an Orson Wells "War of the Worlds" broadcast sort of way.
If the original piece presumes there is a conspiracy, this link is a stampede in another direction.
How exactly did "we" add this to my electrical bill?? Its an article about a Belgian proposal which may never be taken seriously & which may never actually be enacted - IN BELGIUM.
Again, there is a Global Warming presentation near the end of April via Will Steger which might be a good learning experience.
If we examine censorship - since it was a major premise in your posts:
http://snipurl.com/1f7jv
If the U.S. government has...
Back to page topIf the U.S. government has been trying to censor the pro-global warming side, I think we can both agree that they have done a pretty miserable job. It is impossible to open a newspaper or turn on any major TV network news show and not get exposed to the pro-global warming point of view.
Environmentalists have warned that we have to accept the economic disaster of the Kyoto treaty. The Natural Resources Defense Council (another environmental group with more lawyers than scientists) explains: "Sea levels will rise, flooding coastal areas." And Al Gore's movie depicts a future in which cities are submerged by rising sea levels. The Washington Post reports that because of melting ice caps and glaciers, "The End Is Near!"
Wow. Censorship.
But let a British TV network air one show showing a different point of view and it is met with outrage. On the Wednesday before the film aired, liberal blogs were already publishing messages like: "Please do complain [about 'The Great Global Warming Swindle'] and please publicize this link and complain".
Liberals do not want another side to be heard. They will not address the questions (for example the 20 questions I put forth in an earlier comment). They will only say "Sorry, Will Steger says there’s a consensus!"
A classic example of censorship happened here in Minnesota on the capitol steps. In January, there was a global warming event which included your friend Will Steger. Both sides of the debate were initially invited to speak. But, at the last minute, the DFL decided that there was only time to air ONE side of the story.
You can read the KSTP report about the event here:
http://www.kstp.com/article/stories/S27338.shtml?cat=1
For another take on the same event, you can see this post at the Anti-Strib blog:
http://anti-strib.blogspot.com/2007/01/cold-enough-for-ya.html
Even a letter printed in the April 5 EP News declares that the world is going to end in 10 years. It is typical of the breathless panic that is coming from the environmental con artists.
MSNBC and the BBC ran stories on the coming calamity from Greenland's melting glaciers. (Of course they never mention other reports that Greenland's ice has been thickening in the interior of Greenland). Gore's film shows dramatic film of big chunks of ice breaking off glaciers, but the calving" of icebergs is a normal, natural process involved in the growth of glaciers into the sea. The movie features some majestic glaciers that existed in the 19th Century that have all but disappeared today -- but it doesn't bother to mention any of the glaciers growing in Norway, New Zealand and even the United States. The U.S. Forest Service reports that the Hubbard Glacier in Alaska's Tongass National Forest is advancing so rapidly, it threatens to close off a major fjord. We see shocking time-lapse photos of ice disappearing from Mt. Kilimanjaro. The ice there has been melting for over a hundred years.
Global warming ultimately has little to do with science. Global Warming is a political movement and it has everything to do with liberalism, bigger government, and higher taxes.
Fear, uncertainty, and doubt -- these are the tools that liberals use to take away your freedoms. Once you accept their theology that the world is about to end, you will do just about anything to let them provide your salvation.
Another take on the...
Back to page topAnother take on the "swindle" movie:
http://snipurl.com/1fhhy
Climate scientist 'duped to deny global warming'
http://snipurl.com/1fhjv
It's Must-See TV, EG! In...
Back to page topIt's Must-See TV, EG!
In every case where you have presented your specious arguments, EG, I have answered. Yet I challenged you with 20 arguments against global warming theology and you have yet to tackle a one.
OK -- this time you present two articles. Let’s take them one by one.
The first is by conservative columnist and best-selling author Thomas Sowell. Here is the link again:
http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=NzA5YjM2MzY0ZGI1OWIyNGI4NTdmY2QxZGU3NzM5NjE=
In the article, Sowell urges everyone to see the documentary "Global Warming Swindle". The documentary, he says, features distinguished scientists specializing in climate science that "talk in plain English and readily understood graphs showing what a CROCK the current global warming hysteria is."
An EXCELLENT article, EG! And I agree!
In fact, this article is the first of a three part series by Sowell on Global Warming hysteria. You really should read all three parts.
Part two talks about how global warming zealots savagely attack anyone who treats Global Warming as an issue (and not dogma):
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2007/02/global_hot_air_part_ii.html
Part three talks about how the media has hyped false doomsdays in the past and suggests that it is happening again now:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2007/02/global_hot_air_part_iii.html
Anyone interested in learning more about the lies being put forth by the Global Warming zealots should:
1. See the documentary: "Global Warming Swindle".
2. Read ALL THREE parts of Thomas Sowell's excellent series on Global Warming.
OK -- The second article says that one scientist that appeared in the "Great Global Warming Swindle" documentary is unhappy with how he was portrayed. Ummm . . . So what? The documentary's director Martin Durkin fully expected the global warming zealots to attack his movie, but is shocked at how lame the attack really has been. You can read Durkin's response here:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/03/18/ngreen218.xml
One final point: Thomas Sowell's original article also talks about the UN report on Global Warming -- the IPCC report. One key IPCC contributor, Paul Reiter, did not agree with the report and even threatened to sue the IPCC if the group did not remove his name from the report.
You can learn more about Mr. Reiter's objections to the UN climate report here:
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,258993,00.html
So here is one of the IPCC's key contributors basically saying that the IPCC report is junk science. The UN report is a lie. This is the same report you and Will Steger and all the others will then cite in order to justify your big government solutions.
Global warming has nothing to do with science. Global warming is liberal religion. It is a religious movement and it is an ideological movement and it is pure liberalism. It's oriented toward growing government, raising taxes, and empowering government over the individual.
PB - why the shrill need for...
Back to page topPB - why the shrill need for the last word? And in such long posts.
I am sure you are a qualified climatologist by now, after all these posts - however, you stated in several of your posts that you felt both "sides" should be heard. Then let both sides be heard.
You keep telling people what to conclude after every link.
At least once your post remains the last & "defining" one:
When you declared yourself the "victor."
You said, Global warming has nothing to do with science.
Fox News? Are we talking science - or politics? You keep selling the "swindle" movie.
Science has rigorous standards. The science will stand on its own merit - but you are treating it as though there two "sciences" out there.
You keep invoking "censorship" but you keep coming up with a small handful of articles. Shouldn't those people be censored or dead by now? After all, it has been claimed that they have been threatened.
I think its time for other people to comment here.
Again - people should look to the upcoming forums on Global Warming, not listen to people telling you what to think after every article!
You said "must see TV"...
Is it "SWEEPS WEEK" here too?
Let's let the Wall Street...
Back to page topLet's let the Wall Street Journal get the last word. This is what they write today, Easter Sunday:
http://www.opinionjournal.com/columnists/hjenkins/?id=110009914
No. On second thought, let's give KARE-11 the last word:
http://www.kare11.com/news/news_article.aspx?storyid=250397
Happy Easter!
After 2 weeks of this...
Back to page topAfter 2 weeks of this dialog, is this in response to my question about Senator Hann and his sponsoring a symposium http://edenprairienews.com/node/1373 on global warming? Why didn't he inform his constituents about it? Senator Hann, really needs to come clean about what he believes and his voting record.
Why can't Senator Hann respond his own self?
Even though sd42webmaster's ID is posted on their first post identifying their political position, really needs to change his handle, he isn't the webmaster for the entire Senate District 42. He clearly needs to update his login or handle with what party he is associated with.
Reply to Patti Indre: The...
Back to page topReply to Patti Indre:
The first question that needs to be answered is why there was no identifying information on YOUR letter to the editor. I looked for the tag line that identifies you as the Secretary of the SD42 DFL and I did not see it. Must have been an oversight.
I don’t work for David Hann so I will let him respond for himself. Have you ever thought of contacting him directly instead of grandstanding?
Here is what I know:
In January, an event was held at Minnesota’s state capitol and BOTH SIDES of the Global Warming debate were to be presented. At the last minute, the DFL decided to censor the event and present only ONE side of the debate.
You can read the KSTP report about the event here:
http://www.kstp.com/article/stories/S27338.shtml?cat=1
For another take on the same event, you can see this post at the Anti-Strib blog:
http://anti-strib.blogspot.com/2007/01/cold-enough-for-ya.html
The event was a huge disappointment because it left the impression that there was only one side of the issue. One can equally ask why did the DFL legislators who participated in the event conduct it in such a shameful, one-sided and dishonest manner?
Among the evidence that was NOT presented by the DFL:
1) An unmistakable 1500 year cycle in temperature oscillations is present.
2) CO2 of 15 times existing concentrations was recorded in the past.
3) Very recent data indicate that cosmic radiation from deep space directly increases cloud formation, which directly affects warming.
4) The sun’s magnetic field changes the cosmic radiation reaching the earth.
5) "Global Warming" is mostly due to water vapor (clouds = 95%).
6) The highest solar activity in the last 1000 yrs has been recorded recently.
7) The sun is now burning hotter than in the last 1000 years.
8) Govt/private studies calculate Kyoto could cost US $348 billion by 2012.
9) Those same studies predict Kyoto could cost the world 1 trillion by 2012.
10) Those same studies predict that 1.3 million jobs will be destroyed.
11) Jupiter, Mars, Pluto, and Neptune's moon are verified to be undergoing "global warming" coinciding with the earth.
12) In the year 1000 A.D., earth's climate was much warmer than it is now.
13) Vikings raised crops and cattle in Greenland 1000 years ago.
14) A recent poll of climatologists showed that 90% agreed with the statement: "Scientific evidence indicates variations in global temperature are likely to be naturally occurring and cyclical over very long periods of time."
So -- if some state legislators provided a forum where the other side was given a voice, how can any fair-minded individual be opposed?
Let BOTH SIDES be heard, Patti, that’s all I'm asking. Stop the censorship.
Like today, some people demanded 30 years ago that we must take dramatic steps to halt the inevitable expansion of ice and save mankind ("Global Cooling"). Suggestions three decades ago included melting the Arctic ice cap by covering it with black soot or diverting arctic rivers to melt the ice. (Yes, you read that right.)
Today's suggestions are no less loony, and include Al Gore's idea of eliminating the combustion engine (that means taking away your cars) to stuffing corks into cows' behinds because they produce methane (a "greenhouse" gas).
Here is one more question: You are betting your future that your politicians and fellow citizens get this one right: Given the diametrically opposed shrill (and always dead wrong) declarations of doom that have saturated our news outlets for more than 100 years, can we trust what the media tells us about the "science" of global warming?
I close with two more links for you. The first shows that April is currently tracking as the coldest in 113 years:
http://www.agweb.com/get_article.aspx?pageid=135336&src=gennews
Those of you impatiently waiting for Spring to begin - remember, this is the kind of climate that liberals LIKE.
And this one from an MIT scientist who says "Alarm over climate change is based on ignorance of what is normal for weather and climate."
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/17997788/site/newsweek/
You are getting...
Back to page topYou are getting redundant.
The previous posts of your already covered those talking points.
You said: An unmistakable 1500 year cycle in temperature oscillations...
1500 years is a mega-trend. Your grandkids will be dead by then. That doesn't change human impacted global warming.
Blame for global warming placed firmly on humankind
February 2007 NewScientist.com news service Catherine Brahic, http://tinyurl.com/yw4xkv
summary: http://media.newscientist.com/data/images/ns/av/dn11088D1.pdf
Why are the fringe deniers right, vs all the others?
When was the CO2 so much higher??
Was there significant human habitation at that time - and large cities on the coastlines?
You said: Very recent data indicate that cosmic radiation from deep space directly increases cloud formation, which directly affects warming.
Not a refutation of anything. More cloud data would help narrow the range of the predictions of global warming
"Global Warming" is mostly due to water vapor (clouds = 95%).
Hmmm. How are THOSE produced? Actually there is a varied effect from clouds. See my links.
6) The highest solar activity in the last 1000 yrs has been recorded recently.
Which guarantees that we will not affect the climate?
10) Those same studies predict that 1.3 million jobs will be destroyed.
How? If what? What about jobs that will be destroyed because of global warming? You need to address both sides of the equation. What about starvation & impact on cities? A lot of things affect jobs. That assertion needs to be better defined.
11) Jupiter, Mars, Pluto, and Neptune's moon are verified to be undergoing "global warming" coinciding with the earth.
This ties in - how? Incontrovertibly?
"For short-term climate change on Mars, I think it's a very nice study," says Philip Christensen, a geologist at Arizona State University in Tempe. However, he adds that "undoubtedly there are other factors that can affect climate" over longer time spans and that are difficult to measure, including erosion of carbon dioxide deposits on the southern polar cap. http://sciencenow.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/2007/404/4
http://sciencenow.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/2007/406/1
12) In the year 1000 A.D., earth's climate was much warmer than it is now.
good thing we weren't around then, huh? Get yourself a reindeer pelt & fur-lined Viking helmet & enjoy.
;-)
13) Vikings raised crops and cattle in Greenland 1000 years ago.
Cool. So how does that relate to this topic?
14) A recent poll of climatologists showed that 90% agreed with the statement: "Scientific evidence indicates variations in global temperature are likely to be naturally occurring and cyclical over very long periods of time."
Pretty close to a nonsequitor. That is out of context & does not explain anything. Just because there are mega-trends - which no one questions - we are talking about things that are being set in motion apart from those mega-trends.
------------
http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/0406/p01s03-wogi.html
"Already, the global climate has warmed an average of 0.7 degrees C during the 20th century, notes Camille Parmesan, a biologist at the University of Texas in Austin. So far, the ecological changes have been relatively benign."
=======
http://tinyurl.com/ywqfax
Insight: Oil giants' money fuels a climate of suspicion
NewScientist 13 January 2007 Rowan Hooper
"REMEMBER the days when tobacco companies denied there was a link between smoking and cancer? Litigation put an end to that, but the tactics live on elsewhere. The US Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) says that misinformation and denial continue when it comes to global warming. This time it's the world's biggest company, ExxonMobil, that has been fingered as the bad guy."
------------
http://environment.newscientist.com/channel/earth/dn11089-the-impacts-of...
A Few Impacts of 2 degrees C:
Crop yields in Africa drop by 5% - 10%
The Atlantic thermohaline circulation starts to weaken
Up to 10 million more people are affected by coastal flooding
80% of coral reefs are bleached, including the Great Barrier Reef
The Greenland ice sheet could begin an irreversible melt
History of Global Warminghttp://www.pbs.org/now/science/climatechange.html
________
“The truth of the matter is, we don’t know. Aerosols’ influence could be small,” Schwartz explains. “But, if they’re offsetting a large fraction of global warming then we have to say ‘Wow, we have a larger problem than we realize,’” meaning that if aerosols are indeed relieving the environment of rising temperatures more than researchers realize, then the Earth is warming at a faster rate than current models are showing.
http://scienceline.org/2007/04/06/environment-cooper-aerosols/
Greenhouse gases hit new high
* New Scientist Environment and Reuters
Greenhouse gases widely blamed for causing global warming have climbed to record highs in the atmosphere, an Arctic researcher has revealed.
http://tinyurl.com/343vlm
Its time to let people attend the seminars & ask good questions - this topic is exhausted here.
You do not want the debate...
Back to page topYou do not want the debate to continue, EG, but I feel like answering you anyway. Oh well.
(1) Including the information about the one-sided DFL/Will Steger event at the capitol was relevant and necessary to address the question from Patti Indre. I repeated the links for her convenience.
(2) You keep using terms like "Fringe deniers vs all others" as if it is a factually supportable position. It is not.
I have given you numerous names of scientists, climatologists, even local meteorologists who do not agree with global warming hysteria. I gave you a list of 17,200 scientists and even provided a link. And, as I said, that list is -- excuse the play on words -- just the tip of the iceberg. The British movie I mentioned had dozens of scientists who are willing to go on the record opposing global warming theology. There is a CBC (Canadian Broadcasting) production that provides dozens more.
Continuously repeating the same lie -- that there is a consensus -- doesn’t make it true.
(3) The fact that global warming is happening simultaneously on other planets does suggest that man is NOT a factor on those planets and cannot be dismissed as merely coincidence. Even the GW faithful concede that the most significant factor in global warming is the sun. If another celestial body subjected to that same sun is experiencing a warming trend, it is flatly illogical to simply dismiss the phenomenon as irrelevant -- as the GW faithful have done. Given the time scale involved, it is more than a single data point.
Your argument is analogous (and just as foolish) as someone who says: "When the sun comes up on the East Coast, it warms the temperature there. But who's to say that the warming of temperatures that happens three hours later on the West Coast is caused by the same sun? Maybe it's caused by something else entirely."
Much of global warming "strong evidence" actually ignores the influence of the sun, and hence cannot accurately assess how strongly man’s contribution affects total warming. In particular, the models on which the current hysteria is primarily based do not include solar activity.
(4) You repeat the fables about the Greenland ice sheet melting and coastal flooding but provide no science to back up your scary predictions. In fact the IPCC’s third report predicted a sea rise of 3 feet. Its fourth report now predicts 17 inches (more than a 50% decline in the estimate) and it had to deliberately play with the numbers to even get that much. You do not address the actual observed thickening of the ice in Greenland or Antarctica.
(5) You do not address the proposed solutions at all. It is quite relevant. You cannot separate the proposed solutions from the debate.
As it stands, Kyoto can only INCREASE emissions by moving industrial activity to less efficient countries who are not bound by the treaty (and even the countries who ARE bound do not seem interested in meeting their targets). Agreeing to such a scheme isn’t called "leadership", it's called "stupidity".
When someone tells you "your proposed solutions cannot possibly solve the problem”, how can an intelligent person POSSIBLY believe that such a statement is irrelevant?
Nothing could possibly be more relevant. If the proposed solution will not solve the problem or the costs are impossibly steep then there is no reason to do it, no matter how strong the science is.
The US is the most energy efficient country on the planet. While we use more energy than any other country, we also produce more than any other country as well (and by a greater margin). If the alternative is to move production to less energy efficient countries to undertake a "solution" whose real outcome is negligible at best at a tremendous societal cost in overall efficiency and prosperity, then isn't there a compelling reason NOT to use less?
BONUS: I leave you with LIBERAL columnist, professor, and bestselling author Camille Paglia. She is a Democrat but now admits that she is very suspicious of the political agenda of the global warming crowd. She says "environmentalism is a noble cause" but is damaged by "propaganda and half-truths". Global warming fanatics who pursue this with religious fervor are "hungry for visions of apocalypse". So eager, in fact, that they are saying things that are blatantly untrue. When she watched Al Gore's movie, for example, she couldn't help "snorting with disgust at its manipulations and half truths".
Enjoy!
http://www.salon.com/opinion/paglia/2007/04/11/global_warming/index3.html
Cheer up, EG. Like singer/songwriter Billy Joel says, “you know the good ol’ days weren’t always good, tomorrow’s not as bad as it seems.”
I received this in an...
Back to page topI received this in an e-mail, what do you think of the link?
"Hey while I agree mostly with Mr. Bozanich I'd like to recommend the readers check out a great website on the topic of http://m4gw.com. The points are valid but the extremism on the other side won't stop until humans stop emitting CO2."
(Karla Wennerstrom is the editor of the Eden Prairie News. She can be reached at editor@edenprairienews.com.)
Very creative. Whoever...
Back to page topVery creative. Whoever thought of Global Warming was definitely not from Minnesota.
Comedian Drew Carey often complains about how cold it is in Cleveland: "*Bleep* the grandkids -- I'm cold now!"
Can't wait for that outdoor ballpark....
Why thank you for the well...
Back to page topWhy thank you for the well wishes, PB.
But don't fret for me - you have THAT model all wrong too.
The only thing I am sad about is the fact that from reading your posts, its clear that you DON'T ACCEPT the SCIENCE!
Global Warming is Real. Human activity impacts it. You refer to "extremism" but you don't actually accept human impact. The culmination of your posts say so. Even Newt Gingrich has returned to the Global Warming fold.
You are arguing science - but don't seem to accept science.
To use a horse racing analogy:
You are picking a horse that is running for exercise, not a true contender in the race.
Well, if you are betting on a horse - then you are a horse player, albeit a bad one.
You can't pick & choose questionable science over the stuff that has panned out: the conclusions which have proofs, models which others can repeat --> because you deny or misunderstand science IN THE PROCESS.
You are putting words in my mouth again.
I am merely saying that you cannot bully people into accepting your view.
So please don't tell me I am your censor - as you've typed your way to China & back. You have had a platform & a half. Now its repetition. That doesn't carry the day.
Look at your closing comment in the opinion piece:
And they’ll try to shout down anyone who stands in their way.
Who?
The culmination of your cut & paste points
seems to maintain the exception to the rule, makes the rule.
It does not.
That the very few renegades in a scientific process are more valid that all the peer reviews of all the other scientists.
They aren't: The evidence MATTERS. The entire process matters.
It is misunderstanding the very nature of science to choose what you want to believe, over the preponderance of evidence.
You are injecting POLITICS into this. You seem to have an odd grasp of science.
Re-educate yourself about the scientific method & just maybe you'll change your mind.
SEE THE DEBATE on Global Warming between NEWT GINGRICH & JOHN KERRY. They both accept the science.
C-SPAN. Then re-examine what you call lies above.
http://tinyurl.com/29r2ue
I address the science and I...
Back to page topI address the science and I even provide the scientists. I put forth 20 questions on page one of these comments, EG, questions which it seems deserve an answer before we start spending billions on global warming solutions.
And, speaking of solutions, you continue to totally avoid that topic. How can you keep spewing your doom and gloom without addressing the fact that your solutions cannot possibly solve the "problem" you have invented?
And speaking about debates -- why does the Godfather of Gloom and Doom, Al Gore, refuse to debate? The Wall Street Journal mentions a specific instance where he actually chickened out of an interview because it included someone who did not agree with his version of science:
http://www.opinionjournal.com/editorial/feature.html?id=110009552
In fact, he has been challenged to numerous debates, but so far has refused every one of them.
The scary claims about heat waves and droughts are based on computer models. But computer models are lousy at predicting climate because water vapor and cloud effects cause changes that computers fail to predict. They were unable to anticipate the massive amounts of heat energy that escaped the tropics over the past 15 years, forcing modelers back to the drawing board. In the mid-1970s, computer models told us we should prepare for global cooling.
The fundamentalist doom and gloomers ignore scientists who say the effects of global warming may be benign. Why? How does it help the science to ignore dissent? I understand how it helps politics - but how does it help science?
The scientist who came up with the now famous hockey stick model was hailed as a hero by the global warming crowd until two researchers in Canada figured out that you could plug in random numbers into his model and it STILL produced a graph that looked like a hockey stick. The latest IPCC report has quietly dropped the hockey stick model from its current report.
Harvard astrophysicist Sallie Baliunas says added carbon dioxide in the atmosphere may actually benefit the world because more CO2 helps plants grow. Warmer winters would give farmers a longer harvest season.
Why don't we hear about this part of the global warming argument?
"It's the money!" says Dr. Baliunas. "Twenty-five billion dollars in government funding has been spent since 1990 to research global warming. If scientists and researchers were coming out releasing reports that global warming has little to do with man, and most to do with just how the planet works, there wouldn't be as much money to study it."
And the politicians would have one less excuse to take control of our lives.
skipping...
Back to page topskipping politics...
climate_change_history
http://snipurl.com/1g33q
If you are not hearing some individual comments - maybe you aren't listening & reading the literature.
Start reading Scientific American, NewScientist, Science & several of the other publications on a regular basis.
You say: "Start reading...
Back to page topYou say: "Start reading NewScientist"
Nigel Calder, former editor of New Scientist: "When politicians and journalists declare that the science of global warming is settled, they show a regrettable ignorance about how science works."
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/article1363818.ece
Global warming extremists want desperately for you to believe that global warming is a manmade phenomenon, unnatural, and fixable. But, as soon as you begin to question their theology, they get testy. And they totally avoid answering the questions.
I posed 20 questions earlier that still have not been answered. Dr. Roy Spencer, former senior scientist for climate studies at NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center, has some additional "Questions for Al Gore" based on what he calls "Gore's Inconvenient Truth."
http://patriotpost.us/news/questions.asp
Simply regurgitating some person's version of the history of global warming isn't the same as addressing the questions.
Whenever the establishment says you have to believe something, you want people who question the establishment. Or as global cooling guru Bill Gray once said: "Consensus science isn't science." And when the adherents to a particular belief run away from answering -- or debating -- it is a pretty good indication that the facts aren't on their side.
After all of this time,...
Back to page topAfter all of this time, there is nothing going to change your mind on this subject, nor are your arguments going to change mine.
If you choose to not believe in global warming, that is your choice, because we do still have freedom to believe what we wish here in the United States, at least for the time being.
Freedom is a wonderful...
Back to page topFreedom is a wonderful thing. You say:
Hmmm -- for the time being? -- that sounds like a threat to me. When do you plan to take away my right to believe what I wish?
It is not my purpose to change your mind, Patti. If it is your fervent religious belief that the world is going to end in ten years (as one previous EP News letter writer informed us), then who am I to tell you different? All I am saying is the science doesn't support it.
I also hope that my freedom -- as you call it -- extends to living the lifestyle that I choose as well. Because if you truly believe that we are all free to do and believe as we wish, I'm sure you would never DREAM of telling me what kind of car I need to drive or what kind of light bulbs I need to use or how much taxes I need to pay or support policies that would totally destroy our nation's economy -- in order to fund your beliefs.
Unfortunately not everyone on your side shares your love of free speech and thought. Listed above are 20 questions most of which have to do with the science of global warming. Thus far, no one has bothered to tackle one of them. It is much easier just shout "consensus" or call people "deniers". As Star Tribune columnist Katherine Kersten once wrote:
I already explained how the DFL and Will Steger intentionally muzzled the opposition at the state capitol in January.
Or how about the City of St. Louis Park sponsoring a government showing of Al Gore's movie but refusing to present an alternative viewpoint?
Tom Brokaw hosted a special called "Global Warming: What You Need To Know" and guess what? His audience only heard one side. The networks will almost never allow another view to be heard.
In February columnist Ellen Goodman declared: "Global Warming deniers are now on par with holocaust deniers". Does that sound like someone who thinks "we have the freedom to believe what we wish"?
In January, the Weather Channel's climate expert called for decertifying any meteorologist that dares to question the official global warming theology. Channel 5's Dave Dahl has been quite vocal in his beliefs that science does not support Global Warming hysteria. Should he be decertified?
In December two U.S. Senators wrote a threatening letter meant to bully those who dare fund another point of view.
Here is a column by George Mason economics professor Walter Williams. Williams lays out the case against global warming fairly well but he hits even stronger on the long history of quieting those who challenge the so-called consensus. He cites specific examples of contemporary warming skeptics experiencing funding shortages, death threats, verbal warnings and other Stalinist tactics.
http://www.townhall.com/columnists/WalterEWilliams/2007/03/28/global_warming_heresy
Stifling dissent is immoral and it is the opposite of good science. I'm glad you I can at least agree on that.
George Will's column today...
Back to page topGeorge Will's column today is on Global Warming:
"In a campaign without peacetime precedent, the media-entertainment-environmental complex is warning about global warming. Never, other than during the two world wars, has there been such a concerted effort by opinion-forming institutions to indoctrinate Americans, 83 percent of whom now call global warming a serious problem"
"Compliance with Kyoto would reduce global warming by an amount too small to measure. But the cost of compliance just to the United States would be higher than the cost of providing the entire world with clean drinking water and sanitation, which would prevent 2 million deaths (from diseases such as infant diarrhea) a year and prevent half a billion people from becoming seriously ill each year."
Link to the entire article: http://jewishworldreview.com/cols/will041207.php3
PLEASE don't re-fashion...
Back to page topPLEASE don't re-fashion people's words - and create bad arguments, PB.
YOU CREATED A FALSE CONSTRUCT AGAIN, PB, in your response to another poster:
PB, you said -
"Hmmm -- for the time being? -- that sounds like a threat to me. When do you plan to take away my right to believe what I wish?"
*****************
PB, It is not an honest way to have a discussion. Much less one about science. You know as well as I that your extracted hyperbole is not the true conclusion from the statement you quoted.
That is simply over-the-top!
People CAN reason for themselves,
you don't need to bludgeon them into accepting your ideological grasp of science.
At least you framed it about opinion & chosen belief vs evidence.
While it wouldn't hurt for all of us to bone up on argumentative techniques/logical fallacies so that we cannot be easily conned by weak arguments...
Even boning up on the scientific process itself...
But do they need you to tell them how to think, what to conclude??? The scientific process itself addresses verifiable proofs.
Why do you insist on making radical claims of censorship when you seem to be able to post ad infitum??? Or is that predicated upon having the last word?
Science is not a "he said, she said!'
(Enough of word games - its gotten to be no value added to try to have a discussion. You have a page for ideology & there's no point in making the newspaper one too).
Climate Warming is Very Real in Arctic
http://www.abcnews.go.com/Technology/wireStory?id=3043221
EG...Chill. You are going a...
Back to page topEG...Chill. You are going a bit over the top. SD42 is making very informed and articulate posts. He/She is not shrill and shouting if one does not agree. I cannot say the same for you.
LOL. You can BELIEVE as you...
Back to page topLOL. You can BELIEVE as you wish.
You haven't been reading them, have you?
There are links to articles - since I don't seek to bludgeon people into accepting something off kilter.
...pushing an off the mainstream - & keep sticking it in their faces - claiming to be a censored viewpoint...
Does it really hold up?
Please note - I fed the partisan sd42 webmaster's words back to him in the recent post. If the facts stand on their own, why try to kick another poster around above?
But isn't it a gorgeous Earth Day?
http://www.nrdc.org/onearth/06spr/ca1.asp
Climate Warming is Very Real in Arctic...
John Kerry and EG...
Back to page topJohn Kerry and EG agree.
Currently John Kerry is on a lucrative global warming book tour where he is insisting that the debate over global warming is closed and no further questioning is proper at all.
The Miami Herald has been running a series of articles about global warming. This past week, for example, the front page (above the fold) had a dramatic graphic showing how much of the state of Florida will be underwater.
As usual, the article did not provide another side.
In fact the only article in recent past that they have run that even acknowledges that there IS another side is one with the headline: "Republicans see global warming alarmism". Yes, those evil Republicans are the reason Florida is sinking into the sea.
So the scare mongering continues. The polar ice is melting. Al Gore promises ocean levels will rise 20 feet. But Mother Nature continues to have the last laugh.
According to this Washington Post article, more than 100 fishing boats struggled to return from their annual seal hunt:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/04/19/AR2007041902426.html
Four hundred people were trapped by packed Arctic ice. Frank Pinhorn, executive director of the Canadian Sealers Association, said the amount of ice was unprecedented. "Ice conditions are some of the most severe we've seen in 25 to 30 years,"
And did you see singer Sheryl Crowe's plan to save the world? She is currently on a "global warming concert tour" -- whatever that is -- and now demands that we ration toilet paper.
http://newsbusters.org/node/12234
One square per bathroom visit? These are the kind of foolish "solutions" you get from the global warming crowd. She also thinks restaurants should provide "dining sleeves" to replace wasteful napkins. One woman I know read this story and summed up her reaction like this:
"Ewwwww! No wonder Lance Armstrong left her!"
By the way, it's worthwhile to note that, when touring, Crowe uses three tractor trailers, four buses, and six cars to spread her message of frugality (for others).
This is the privileged world of the liberal elites. The NY Times ran a piece about how wealthy socialites are encouraging the purchase of enviro-friendly products and turning off the water when brushing your teeth, but refuse to make more substantial changes in their own lives like getting rid of the second homes, limousines, and private jets.
http://michellemalkin.com/archives/007364.htm
Al Gore, John Travolta, Prince Charles -- it is the same with all of these eco-sanctimonious media stars. They want you to change your light bulbs, convert your dog's waste to power your refrigerator, trade in your car for a bicycle, and force your children to watch some bloviating hypocrite's movie 30 times. They continue to be energy hogs, living their lavish lives while lecturing you, "the little people", about personal hygiene.
The pro-global warming side is well organized and well funded. In addition to all the media support and Hollywood money, your government now spends $4 billion per year of your tax dollars trying to convince you that the world is about to end.
http://www.washingtontimes.com/commentary/20061115-093408-1938r.htm
Jeff Jacoby in the Boston Globe reveals the staggering sums of money that are coming from corporate interests, left-wing lobby groups like Theresa Heinz Kerry's Heinz Foundation, and others.
http://www.boston.com/news/globe/editorial_opinion/oped/articles/2007/04/15/doubting_doomsday/
But they get very upset if a scientist that does not agree with their orthodoxy gets any funding at all.
And the solutions -- the part of this deal that EG refuses to talk about -- involve higher taxes, higher fuel costs, higher food costs, taking more control over the private economy, and "multilateral" organizations dictating actions to sovereign states.
The solutions suggested are very foolish -- believe it or not they are even more foolish than Ms. Crowe's attack on your bathroom privacy.
They would drastically curtail economic growth worldwide, which is the very engine which will someday discover the next big energy source to move beyond fossil fuels, and which accounts for nearly all of the efficiencies gained in energy production and use over the years. The more that these draconian measures squelch growth, the longer it will take for the next breakthroughs, and even for the next minor refinement which helps, even if a little.
For many, if not most, of those clamoring for immediate crackdowns on "greenhouse gases", the important part is the seizure of new broad powers for central governments and multinational organizations. Solving the problem is not important. They only want the power they say is NEEDED to solve it.
Well -- that's all for now -- I've got to go eat dinner. Now where did I put that dining sleeve?
FRONTLINE REPLAY TONIGHT -...
Back to page topFRONTLINE REPLAY TONIGHT - Global Warming. See Nova. PBS. KTCI probably.
Please don't be whiney, PB. I am impressed that you are telling me what I think. I know you are just trying to be helpful.
It feels really, really cheap, though.
This is a newspaper, not a vile POLITICAL forum.
Do you get paid EXTRA if your opinion piece goes to #1 in hits?
I am reminded of the painting
"The Scream" in your posts.
Go play alone.
Exactly my point. The major...
Back to page topExactly my point. The major media supports global warming hysteria.
The PBS (government funded) program Frontline supports it. The program will tell us the debate is over, there is a consensus, any opposition to global warming orthodoxy is because of manipulation by evil oil companies and evil Republicans who secretly want Florida to sink into the sea.
Friday's edition of ABC's "20/20" was dedicated to "Seven Ways To Help Save the World," which included turning the lights out on the top of the Empire State Building, the Arc de Triomphe, and even in ABC's Times Square studio, where Diane Sawyer could briefly be seen waving a flashlight in the dark.
In the program we learn that Australia will soon flood because warmer water will cause the seas to expand. Too much water, in other words. But Australia is currently undergoing a drought -- which, by the way, is also the fault of Global Warming (isn't it neat how global warming can mean whatever you want it to mean?).
If you haven't burned out after that, you can click over to the Sundance Channel -- they are running a 13-part series about the environment called "Big Ideas for a Small Planet" that began last week. Their series is filled with chic-looking men and women, many of whom look like they spend all their time on the beach, drinking organic tea and wearing clothes made of seaweed and bamboo. Apparently caring about the planet also extends to the kind of clothes you wear.
"Big Ideas" is full of all sorts of environmentally-friendly fashion ideas and provides an interesting and even amusing glimpse of what, in many ways, begins to look like a full blown religious cult. In this case it is the planet, not any deity, which becomes the object of veneration.
What you won't see on any of these shows is an opposing view.
You will not see a debate. You won’t see science that calls their theories into question. You will not see the problems discovered with past United Nations doomsday reports. You won’t see evidence that the so-called solutions will destroy our economy and will not solve the problem anyway. You will not see an explanation of why the earth cooled for thirty years from 1940-1970 and then started to warm after that. You won't read about the thousands of scientists who do not agree that the planet is about to end.-
They don’t want a debate. The debate, as far as they are concerned, is over.
Why, for example, is Al Gore afraid to confront an opposing view? If he is so sure of his facts then why not debate? The event could be broadcast on CNN or Fox or C-Span and would probably get a good audience. If his arguments are as iron-clad as you say, he could even potentially bring some skeptics over to his side.
But he won't debate. Several prominent scientists have challenged him to debate, but he has turned down every one.
For example, he was recently scheduled to appear at an interview in Denmark but pulled out at the last minute when he discovered that an opposing view was to be offered. What is Al Gore afraid of? The truth?
http://www.opinionjournal.com/editorial/feature.html?id=110009552
Good science depends on good debate. The best decisions are made when facts are allowed to be confronted and challenged.
None of the above programs allow that debate to happen. They want to preach sermons. The impression that is left is that there is only one truth and it is "our truth" and every one else can just stuff it.
So -- by all means, watch the PBS program tonight. After all, you're paying for it.
Weather Channel founder...
Back to page topWeather Channel founder calls global warming a scam. Read more here:
http://www.startribune.com/462/story/1544776.html
A partisan DFL hack recently...
Back to page topA partisan DFL hack recently made the claim that this article is not sourced.
On the contrary, the source material is listed above (click on the following link to be taken directly to it): http://www.edenprairienews.com/news/national-politics/commentary-beware-global-warming-extremism-1430#comment-283 and has been listed for over a year.
And, after a year, we are still waiting for an answer to the "20 Questions for Global Warming Alarmists" that were posed here and elsewhere over a year ago. Thus far, not one of you libs have bothered to take those on. You keep quoting the same wackos – James Hanson and Paul Douglas. And Al Gore continues to refuse every challenge to debate the issue.
By the way, for a funny video about Al Gore’s latest climate rally, click here.
Over a year since this article was first printed, AGW continues as the world's leading totalitarian religion, not science. It's a way of achieving economic, political and social control that communism, another tyranny sublimating freedom to the greater good, could only dream of.
Some of the sources the DFL operative quotes, in fact, quite openly advocate prosecuting those who dare to doubt.
She labels skeptics as "Global Warming Deniers" in order to put them morally on the same plane as Holocaust Deniers. Perhaps those who deny allegiance to her faith will one day have to wear a badge on their sleeves. Hopefully some of you can see where this is going.
The Environmental Protection Agency already is under orders from the Supreme Court to determine if CO2, the basis for all plant (and therefore animal) life on Earth, is endangering the public health and welfare. If so, the EPA must regulate it and our economy.
Global warming fanatics are using the polar bear, poster pet for climate change, to force action through the Endangered Species Act. They're also trying to hijack laws such as the Clean Air Act and the National Environmental Policy Act.
Global warming extremists have wreaked more havoc on this planet through their policies to save it. The rush to biofuels such as ethanol has raised the price of food around the globe to the point of causing food riots. Agricultural runoff from increased cultivation is degrading rivers and coastal areas. Meanwhile, trendy "carbon offsets" turn needed Third World farmland into tree farms.
Thanks to the extremsts, we are not allowed to drill for oil . . . anywhere. Our $4 gas will soon become $12 gas, enriching our nation's enemies, wrecking our economy and putting thousands out of work.
Even the humble light bulb in your bedside lamp will not escape the reach of global warming extremists. They have actually passed legislation to ban all light bulbs – ie. you will no longer have a choice – and will force all of us to use mercury-laden cfl lighhtbulbs in their place. Mercury, of course, is a dangerous neuro-toxin. Thanks to the extremists, you will not have a choice but to use these new light bulbs.
Why debate? Totalitarians get everything they want by force and threats.
Hey Peter -- Fellow...
Back to page topHey Peter -- Fellow Republican here (we met at the SD42 convention), so please take my comments below as being said in the friendly tone they are meant to have.
Part of the problem with the climate change issue is that we mundane citizens who lack degrees in planetary sciences are presented with an issue that even those who have such degrees admit is dauntingly complex. Under such a circumstance, it is understandable why some would wish to shut down all debate, some would want to stir it up, some would resort to ad hominems --and some would just hunker down and vote party line. These are natural reactions to confrontation with a topic that has big unknowns. And you know what? There is nothing you or I can do to resolve those unknowns here.
But I will say this: without wishing to shut down debate or, more to the point, curtail further investigations into climate science, it is clear that the scientific community has indeed reached an actionable (you may chuckle if you will at the multiple meanings of the term!) level of consensus. The EPA website sums up our state of knowledge very fairly ( http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/fq/science.html#10 ):
"Are human activities responsible for the warming climate? Careful measurements have confirmed that greenhouse gas emissions are increasing and that human activities (principally, the burning of fossil fuels and changes in land use) are the primary cause. Human activities have caused the atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide and methane to be higher today than at any point during the last 650,000 years. Scientists agree it is very likely that most of the global average warming since the mid-20th century is due to human-induced increases in greenhouse gases, rather than to natural causes."
So, I say, by all means, let's unleash the scientists all the more to get to the bottom of this, but in the meantime let's not let ourselves be paralyzed by our lack of omniscience. This is a time when Republicans need to reclaim the heritage of Teddy Roosevelt and attack with gusto what appears (with as much clarity as you're going to get) to be a rapidly-present danger.
My admittedly limited perspective is that, given we cannot expect people to live an 18th century lifestyle, we need to embrace the upcoming century as the Century of Engineering, for it will be through engineering on a scale never before seen that we can create a sustainable future. While I am all for exploring the usual list of alternative energy suspects, I am convinced for the moment that our only realistic energy solution is NUCLEAR. Not "drill, baby, drill," but "split that atom, baby, split that atom." Now, I am not insensible to the problems that nukes present. Again, my personal vision (that is still no doubt rife with ignorance) is that while we need to invest immediately in the development of nuclear facilities right here in the US, our long-range plan needs to be the cooperative development of massive international nuclear power facilities safely sequestered from the planet. I'm thinking here of putting such facilities in safe, earth-trailing heliocentric orbits or on the moon. Did I mention Teddy Roosevelt above? Think Panama Canal. Times ten.
You're very right, Peter: the scientific and political debate must continue and we must remain open to the possibility that our present understanding of human impact to the climate is wrong. But while that debate carries on, the TIME TO ACT IS NOW. I urge everyone to consider that if climate change is indeed real, it poses as great a threat to national security as terrorism. Indeed, it should be regarded AS an issue of national security. And I urge that you evaluate the candidates on the basis of who takes this issue the most seriously. Look, in particular, for things like:
- whose space policy will provide the infrastructure needed to continue the study of Earth climate
- who will present the soundest, most sustainable vision for our energy future
- who will best commit to encouraging science and the scientific debate
- who will have a political party backing him in the above? who will have a poliitcal party fighting him?
A couple reference links to look at are:
ScienceDebate2008
http://www.sciencedebate2008.com/www/index.php?id=42
Where Obama and McCain have both responded to 14 pressing science-related questions developed by the ScienceDebate2008 team in coordination with Scientists and Engineers for America, the AAAS, the National Academies and the Council on Competitiveness.
Planetary Society
http://www.planetary.org/news/2008/0818_US_Presidential_Candidates_Relea...
Where the space policy statements from Obama and McCain are presented in somewhat greater detail.
Best wishes, all. We're all in this together.
I find it impossible to...
Back to page topI find it impossible to believe that there are so many drawbacks to prevention of global warming. After all this is one of the biggest problems mankind is facing, the plant could become unlivable in a couple of hundreds of years. In my opinion the fight against global warming must go on at any cost.
Oxycontin Detox
JoeAnne's concern about...
Back to page topJoeAnne's concern about global warming included some Spam. The short pointless annoying message she includes is from one of those Florida based on-line pharmacies.
That raises the question of whether the only purpose of the comments was to sneak one by the editors. Her comments on global warming conveyed little understanding of the issue. She attempted to warm the hearts of global warming extremists by reciting their mantra, before directing them to a website that offers a product to people addicted to Oxycontin.
Was this a legitimate post, or clever marketing?
Global Warming: Is the...
Back to page topGlobal Warming: Is the Science Settled Enough for Policy?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WXaruC4vJCU&feature=PlayList&p=84E5EB3A4C...
This is a free video from Stanford University's Office of Science Outreach's Summer Science Lecture Series. It is a lecture given by Stephen Schneider on July 24, 2008. (Prof. Schneider's Stanford website is here: http://stephenschneider.stanford.edu/ )
The lecture part of the video is just shy of an hour long, and it is followed by about 30 minutes of Q&A. Schneider begins his lecture by asking the audience to raise their hands if they think the science of climate change is settled. Some people do. Then he asks for people to raise their hands if they think the science of climate change is NOT settled. Some people do. Then he asks the pointed question: how many people think that the question is stupid? And he raises his own hand.
The point is simply that we do not need all climate change issues settled to be morally on the hook to enact policy.
(Incidentally, as Schneider goes into the example distinguishing "no reasonable doubt" from "preponderance of the evidence," don't miss the seed of an argument against capital punishment.)
There are two issues raised in Schneider's lecture that are larger than the climate debate and that I think demand special attention.
The first issue is: can democracy survive complexity? Athens was defeated by Sparta in the Pelopennesian War because its democracy degraded into arguing factions, resulting in the exile of her great military leader Alcibiades. The lesson that the young Plato took from this was that democracy could not survive the complexity of the real world, because monarchies such as Sparta would always be able to wage superior wars.
Does this little episode in ancient history have a lesson for us? I think it does and beyond the purely military. With climate change, we are presented with an issue of not just national but global security significance. Given that what we need here is the best scientific understanding of the issue, we would naturally expect that the best, most respected climatologists would be the ones we'd call on to help shape policy, right? And that we normal citizens would educate ourselves well enough to know who those people would be, right?
Right. (Lace that with a tone of doubt that we are up for doing that.)
This is off topic and probably needs a separate thread, but I suspect that "this republic has degenerated into a democracy." And while many are at fault for this, I believe it is factions within my own Republican party who are most at fault. We need to get on the right side of this issue.
The second issue (raised at 1 hour 27 minutes into the video) is: the threat of climate change, as great as it is, is not the greatest threat we as a world face. The greater threat is that weapons of mass destruction may one day be used. Why is this the greater threat? Because the consequences to human life will potentially be even more horrifying than what climate change may bring to pass.
Can we stop stealing campaign signs and then bickering about it long enough to let the discussion turn to things like this?
Thanks WW for acknowledging...
Back to page topThanks WW for acknowledging that the science is not anywhere near settled on Global Warming and forgive me for not noticing your comment until now.
You’re a smart guy – here are seven questions for you:
1. Is global warming really happening? Can you explain why three of the four global metrics are showing that global temps are going down right now? Why, according to NPR, haven't temps risen in 10 years and why haven't ocean temps haven't risen in 5 years? Can you explain why the IPCC’s predicted temperature rise in the Indian Ocean isn’t panning out? Why did NASA recently say that we are currently experiencing "a new climate change is coming that will bring an extended period of deep cold to the planet." (the word "new" can also be interpreted as UNEXPECTED – kind of important when considering climate change models).
2. Can you tell me for certain that man – and not the sun – is the primary cause?
3. How much will the proposed solutions cost? I want exact monetary costs in addition to costs to personal freedom. I also want to know about costs to human life when we use food for fuel instead of food.
4. How many degrees will those solutions bring down the temperatures? Can you tell me for sure – if we do this and this and this, the temperature will drop X degrees? What is the cost per degree -- for example, it will personally cost us all $10,000 each to bring down the temps 0.5 degrees but if we want it to go down a whole degree, we will all have to move into mud huts)?
5. How can you be certain that plunging global temperatures will be a good thing? Won’t it mean longer colder winters (I'm moving!), shorter growing seasons, more disease, more use of fossil fuels for heat? Some say that warmer temps will mean that we will once again be able to farm Greenland –- that life on earth will actually thrive.
6. What do you do with those of us who won't play along? What if I don't want people dictating what kind of car I can drive or what food I'm allowed to eat or how warm I can heat my house? Do I really have bring light bulbs with mercury into my home? What if I won't limit my carbon output? Will you use the violent and coercive force of government to force me to comply?
7. What if it turns out that the whole thing is a crock? What if the entire global warming industry is just a made-up religion to make Al Gore wealthy and to give socialists an excuse to grow government and control our lives? Where can we go to get our money and our freedoms back? How do we rebuild a devastated economy? How do we apologize to the millions of people around the world adversely affected by our ethanol policies?
Since I actually do have a...
Back to page topSince I actually do have a regular day job (and you've already got me parsing an example of 40 year-old Supreme Court judicial activism), please forgive me but I will reply to these in parts.
Let's look at 1 and 2 first.
In your first question, you asked "Why did NASA recently say that we are currently experiencing 'a new climate change is coming that will bring an extended period of deep cold to the planet.'"
As far as I can determine, NASA did not say that. Google the phrase and you will find that it is said by John Casey of the "Space and Science Research Center" (http://www.spaceandscience.net/id1.html) in Orlando, Florida (conveniently less than 1 mile from HolyLand Theme Park in case you want to visit with Jesus afterwards http://maps.yahoo.com/#mvt=m&lat=28.489845&lon=-81.438655&zoom=16&q1=470...). I don't know enough to question Mr. Casey's credentials or motives, but he certainly is NOT NASA, even if he did do work for NASA in the past.
For NASA's rather more official opinion on the matter, it would be better to stick with official NASA sites, such as the NASA Earth Observatory (http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/)(please note the domain in that URL). Here is the NASA Earth Observatory take on Global Warming: http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Library/GlobalWarmingUpdate/global_warm...
From paragraph #1: Warming of the climate system is unequivocal.
Then, about mid-way down the second page of the update, the report addresses the question: "But how do scientists know global warming is caused by humans and that the observed warming isn’t a natural variation in Earth’s climate?" The conclusion, arrived at on the climate model page, is that "This means that, according to the models, humans are responsible for most of the warming observed during the second half of the twentieth century."
This is NASA's opinion, not just mine. If we were talking about just my own opinion, I'd say "ignore at will." But NASA's opinion is rather more informed than mine. Ignore at peril.
(Incidentally, I am not sure which global metrics you have in mind, but the Evidence for Global Warming section of the Earth Observatory site presents some pretty compelling data. If you are interested, you can even get Earth Observatory news feeds set on your iGoogle home page. I did that when iGoogle started. I have not seen one article come from NASA since then that seriously questions either that climate warming is occuring or that carbon emissions are a signicant factor.)
I don't know enough about ocean temp models to comment yet. I suspect that oceanic models are even more complex (and therefore more susceptible to error) than atmospheric models. After all, you're essentially dealing with TWO vast, complex systems -- the atmosphere AND the ocean -- in oceanic models.
Finally, you ask if I can tell you for certain that human activities rather than natural activities such as the sun are the cause. Of course not. Peter, I have a degree in philosophy. I concentrated on questions in the philosophy of science, the philosophy of religion and epistemology. If there's one thing I can tell you with a high degree of certainty, it's that you are seldom going to hear me express anything with certainty.
The world, contrary to what some may think (and indeed may have said recently) is not black and white, and even less so is our knowledge and understanding of the world. It is impertive that we be able to see in shades of probability. Right now, there is a strong probability (the IPCC, I believe, characterizes it as 95%+ odds) that human activity is a significant causal factor influencing climate change. But even if it were only 51%, that, to me, is when we are morally on the hook. That's exactly the point of the Stanford lecture at the link in my earlier post.
I'll end this post tonight with one last point. I work for a rather large financial institution. Given the insanity going on lately, I believe we in fact became the world's largest finacial institution by market capitalization a couple of weeks ago. HSBC. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hsbc)
Contrary to what the subprime mortgage mess might make one think, banks are normally rather averse to risk. And so HSBC as an organization considers climate change not only to be real but a BUSINESS THREAT and a SOCIAL IMPERATIVE. So much so that I am extremely proud to report we have invested US$100mil in partnerships to address climate change (http://www.hsbccommittochange.com/environment/climate-partnership/) and internally are scrambling to find ways to clean up our own environmental footprint.
That's what a risk averse BUSINESS says about climate change.
All right, let's continue....
Back to page topAll right, let's continue. But first a shout out to Mayor Young -- you don't know it, but you sat just to my right at the first half of tonight's EPHS football game. I considered saying hi but figured you just wanted to enjoy watching the Eagles rack up yet another kick-a win. Woo hoo! (I was the one with the squirmy 4 year-old girl belting out Little Mermaid and Garth Brooks songs.)
So let's look at your third question: costs.
First, before I say *anything* else, I want to address the fear that obviously underlies your question. Clearly, asking the question at all implies that you are very (rightly) concerned about being fiscally responsible and not impinging on individual liberties. In the back of your mind I imagine are images of tree-hugger environmentalist-types, demanding that the federal government be used to ram costly solutions down our throats, like it or not, personal freedom be damned.
Well, as much as I love the outdoors, I am no tree-hugger. I have friends and relatives who ARE (one who even got Pres. Clinton to create a national monument: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cascade-Siskiyou_National_Monument) and I love 'em to death, but I've come to grips with the fact that I am not really of that pattern. Climate change to me is not an environmental issue. It is national and global security issue first, a moral issue second, and a business issue third. Also, I have a libertarian streak a mile-wide. So rest assured, I, too, am tremendously concerned with costs and would want any infringement on personal liberties to be measured with extreme care.
So...cost. The honest answer is that I don't know and that is because I don't have a full solution mapped out. No individual could, really. But here are some important thoughts:
- First, I reject ethanol or similar bio-fuel type solutions. I really don't think they play into the solution at all. There is no need to worry about using crops that could otherwise feed people or livestock from my corner.
- Second, the solutions need to go after the biggest carbon emitters. Forcing people to use more economical light bulbs may conserve electricity, but that is only an issue if the production of the electricity causes carbon emissions. I have only praise for those who voluntarily choose to reduce, reuse, and recycle...but that is not going to get us to where we need to be. We need to be positioned so we have cheap, and extraordinarily abundant electricity for all -- with no carbon emissions.
- Third, I believe that nuclear is the only current technology that offers a solution for that need. That is not to say we should not pursue wind, geotherm, solar, etc. But nuclear can get us to where we need to be NOW.
- Fourth, the cost of building, securing, overseeing and maintaining nuclear facilities will be great, no doubt. But as I noted above, these should not be government projects. These should be primarily private enterprises with government participating to secure and oversee. The latter should not be underestimated. If we as a nation are truly going to become strategically dependent on nuclear, then we need to secure our nuclear facilities with the military, and we need to have STRICT and TRANSPARENT oversight to force the private power companies to adhere to design and maintenance rules and remediations. Other than that cost, however, let private investors build and profit from the facilities. The most important thing government can do here is get out of the way.
- Fifth, by choosing to go nuclear, we as a people will owe a debt to the people of Nevada who will be asked to bear the burden of underground storage of the waste. We must spend whatever it takes to make Yucca Mountain a safe storage solution and we may be morally on the hook to relocate people living nearby if they feel uncomfortable living in proximity to the site. We can afford to treat these people right and we must never adopt the attitude that Nevada is just a wasteland, anyway. Having lived there for three years myself I can assure you, it is not.
- Sixth, I think it is probably just a reality that regular fuel-based cars and trucks will be the norm for at least another 10-15 years. The government cannot reasonably ask individuals to ditch the investment they have made in their current cars. So, as electric and hydrogen based cars and trucks slowly become the norm (mine will be the Tesla, thank you: http://www.teslamotors.com/) and the free market cost of gasoline will help you to voluntarily "choose" to go electric or hydrogen, the government needs to sponsor a project to deal with the carbon that current cars and trucks emit.
What I have in mind here are activities to sequester this carbon dioxide. One of the most interesting proposals I have seen comes from Gregory Benford, professor of physics at UC Irvine and author of some of the best sf you will ever get your hands on (http://www.gregorybenford.com/). He writes about his idea in an Amazon Short here: http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/B000CBT7PQ/qid=1132469075/...). The idea, in a nutshell, is to bury farm waste (corn stalks, etc.) in the deep ocean where the sequestered carbon will be retained for about a thousand years. He estimates that burying just the US farm waste could capture 33% of all carbon emitted today, not even factoring in a dramatic reduction in carbon emissions if we go nuclear. The two together might solve the problem through the remainder of the century.
Of course, the government would have to pay to transport and bury the farm waste (who else would?). But I can easily envision opening a carbon sequestration market: let the government set the demand side of the equation (how much carbon to sequester), and let private companies compete to devise ways to meet the demand (and burying farm waste is only one of many ways to do this). The government would certainly have to pay the suppliers (with taxpayer money), but fostering competition and innovation would ensure that the government does not itself get into the carbon sequestration business and would get the best, most cost-effective solutions. The money to pay (and, again, to OVERSEE) these vendors, I believe, could come directly from spending cuts to the military budget. This IS a security expense and it is really more suited to the security environment of the 21st century.
(Personally, if I were to make a go at this, I would envision creating great dirigibles to haul the farm waste. This would reduce the carbon emissions due to transportation and would make pick up and delivery much simpler. You could even color the upper surface of the dirigibles to reflect sunlight, incrementally reducing the Earth's albedo and helping that much more. But now I am drifting of into sci-fi again, aren't I?)
So...cost wise, I can't give you exact costs. This isn't a formalized plan that is ready for that yet. But in general, I think a solution can be tailored so that much of the expense is born by private investors who will ultimately reap a profit, and the rest, while definitely a tax-payer bill, would not be as costly as we might think, and could come from cutting existing costs elsewhere in the budget.
And as far as costs to personal freedom -- let's agree to keep that as low as possible.
(P.S. I want to add one thing here: one reason that the tree-hugger socialist environmentalist image haunts our collective imagination is because there is a terrible lack of imagination in our science fiction, especially the SciFi portrayed in films (because I know no one will read real sf). The best scifi we have on TV today is probably BattleStar Galactica, and while it is admittedly a brilliant show that illuminates much about human character, it speaks nothing to the pressing science problems of our day: climate change, energy, science education, proliferation of WMDs and religious-based terrorism, pandemics, genetics research, (real) space exploration, and the interplay of science and politics, for a few. An idea I have long wanted to pursue is to produce a show similar in format to PBS Mystery! that would allow today's best sf writers to unleash scripts that DO delve into these issues. The power of real sf is the power to expand how we see our real, present world. If anybody wants to go in with me, let me know!)
William, I appreciate your...
Back to page topWilliam, I appreciate your thoughts. And I'd like to share my thoughts concerning nuclear, and it's from a business perspective.
Do we really want to encourage an industry that cannot compete economically?
And the simple fact is, nuclear cannot compete economically, without a massive public subsidy.
And if we're going to subsidize an industry, we should be subsidizing industries that can compete economically.
There's lots of talk about nuclear now; just wait until the NIMBY's find out it's going in their city; just wait until the people down-wind find out a nuclear reactor is planned up-wind. You know the court battles that are bound to happen, before a shovel of dirt is turned, let alone a kilowatt produced.
While all of this is going on, real renewable-energy progess could be proressing. Subsidies need to go to businesses that can compete; not nuclear that cannot.
Tommy, I'll need more time...
Back to page topTommy, I'll need more time to understand the econonmics of nuclear. My impression is that it does turn a healthy profit for companies like Southern Cal Edison...but I need to research that further. Also, I would envision the creation of a consortium of power companies coming together, under federal mandate, to create a standard powerplant design that could be suited to each site. Having a production-line nuclear design would reduce costs all around, making the business case all the stronger.
That said, I would emphasize that I am indeed in favor of pursuing ALL forms of renewable energy that do not contribute greenhouse emissions.
I have driven many times through that California wind farm that you see in all the commercials and that is a thrilling sight, more of which I would love to see. HSBC uses geothermal energy to heat and cool its newer buildings. An Edison project (http://www.edison.com/pressroom/pr.asp?id=5885) that looks extremely promising is the development of a Stirling Engine capable of powering over a quarter-million homes. (Apparently the project looks good to some folks other than just me, too: http://climateerinvest.blogspot.com/2008/04/100-million-into-stirling-en...). (Never heard of a Stirling Engine? See my remarks above about the dearth of imagination from our storytellers.)
These and others like them must absolutely be encouraged and, where it makes sense, subsidized. These REALLY are keys to our national security, because not only do they move us towards the energy independence we so desperately need from a security standpoint, but they are also the technologies we can safely EXPORT to developing nations. Nuclear may be an option for our own use, but I can't conceive helping other nations to develop it. We need these alternatives to offer to other countries as a safe way to help them provide clean power for their peoples. By sharing these technologies, we not only protect the planet and help avert disaster, but think of the diplomacy they represent!
In the end, though, the thing I would want to stress is this: under no circumstances may we morally entertain half measures. I believe that non-nuclear solutions are just that. They simply will not provide the power that you know we as a country will consume. Half measures not only fail to address the climate crisis, but they risk lulling us into complacency, thinking that we have addressed it.
The climate crisis must be solved overwhelmingly. We do it, and we do it BIG. In my present opinion, nuclear is the only way to ensure this victory.
William, I'm a small...
Back to page topWilliam, I'm a small business man. Real small. But, each and every one of my customers want - and some of 'em "demand" - proof of liability insurance before I work on their property. Everybody has to have liability insurance. Everybody, that is, except nuclear. Well, that's not quite accurate; but the fact is nuclear doesn't have to insure themselves to the full extent of the damage they could cause.
Why? Because no one will insure a nuclear plant. So, they don't have to have a line-item on their budget that accurately reflects what that cost should be; an expense everyone else has to have. This is because the Feds - in their infinite wisdom - passed a law that says they don't; it's called the Price Anderson Nuclear Industries Indemnity Act.
And then there's the issue of storage - who is going to pay for the costs of storage, 100,000 years from now? Is there a trust fund set up for this, and who are the brainiacs that set the actuarial tables to determine proper funding? Obviously, I'm bein' a little facetious, but you get the point.
Here's the deal - Because of the 1973 Oil crisis, and the ensuing Arab Oil Embargo, President Carter developed a plan to end dependence on foreign oil.
Carter also turned down the thermostat, put on a cardigan sweater, and installed solar panels on the roof.
Reagan got elected, and he took off his jacket, turned up the thermostat, and ripped that solar panel off the roof.
And that's the philosophical difference between the parties.
Reaganism says that if you can afford to pay the bill, it's not a problem - it's only a problem for those in the middle and lower classes that can't afford the bill. And even though it sucks to be them, it's their own fault - they should simply pull themselves up by the bootstraps and make more money.
But, I'm going off on a tangent; the reality is that nuclear is not cost effective without massive public subsidy; personally, I'd rather see solar panels on every roof and wind turbines on the horizon, than the court system clogged with lawsuits from folk that live downwind from proposed nuclear plants.
Ok, Peter, on to your 4th...
Back to page topOk, Peter, on to your 4th and 5th questions.
They are actually related, so I will respond to them together. Your question #4 asks for a cost-to-degree formula, and your question #5 asks whether trying to target a cooler global climate is really such a good idea.
Since, as I've indicated above, I can't give you a cost but only a strategy for keeping costs low and in the private sector as much as possible, I will not be able to give you a cost-to-degree formula, either. But it gets worse. It's not just the cost side of the equation that I don't have a concrete answer for. Peter, what we are talking about here is no less than terra-forming Earth -- and we do it without the absolute certainty you crave as to what effects we will bring about.
I freely admit it: this is terrifying stuff. If you don't already feel the terror in your gut at the thought of what I'm talking about doing, then look at this: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:As08-16-2593.jpg. That's it, folks. We got no where else to go. If we screw her up, the show is over. And, yup, we're talking about tinkering around with the ATMOSPHERE without positively knowing what will happen.
But ladies and gentlemen, the news is that that experiment has been underway for over a century and a half. We're already terra-forming Earth, and we did so with an ignorance that makes our present uncertainty pale by comparison. What we are talking about doing is the UN-doing of the unwitting experiment we've been conducting for so long now.
You know, there are two approaches to this. What I've proposed above is a passive approach: NOT putting carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gasses into the atmosphere. There are also active approaches: taking active measures to cool the Earth directly. Active measures would include things like deliberately increasing the Earth's albedo by, say, dispersing huge clouds of sulfur ash to reflect the incoming light from the sun. Think I'm joking? Think again: http://www.rollingstone.com/news/story/12343892/can_dr_evil_save_the_wor.... Scared now?
At our present stage in the crisis, I believe the measured and reasonable thing to do is to stop putting greenhouse gasses into the atmosphere, immediately. The active approaches simply cannot be risk-justified (thankfully). But that is for now...do nothing for too long, and they may be our only shot. So how can I "be sure" that taking measures to cool the global climate will be a good thing? Again, there is no way to "be sure." But staying our present course is far more likely to lead to catastrophe, and by taking the measures I've recommended above, we can at least throttle our impact should the planetary system throw us a curveball. (We haven't even talked about curveballs, but they may be in our future. Example: http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/MediaAlerts/2008/2008052826907...)
BTW, Peter, if we are ever farming Greenland, we will be doing it only after a catastrophe of unimaginable horror will have occured. The ice on Greenland is just that: ON Greenland. When Arctic ice melts, it does not raise sea-level since it was already IN the ocean. But if the Greenland ice fully melts, then you really will see sea-levels rise in the way Gore depicts, with all the accompanying human death and suffering.
And that may not be all.
Ice, of course, is fresh water. If you were to have a rapid melting of Greenland ice into the Atlantic, you would thus wind up with a region that would be locally less salty. But fresh water and salt water have different densities, so having a local region that is less salty would very likely affect the Gulf Stream. The Gulf Stream acts as a barrier keeping arctic waters from northern Europe. Shut down the Gulf Stream, let those waters in, and despite the fact that the global climate would be warmer, northern Europe would be plunged into a true ice age. This is precisely the scenario Kim Stanley Robinson describes in his Forty Days trilogy (http://www.wired.com/science/planetearth/news/2007/07/stanley_robinson_q...). Is this sure to happen? No. Is this a possible scenario. You bet.
So please: watch what you wish for.
"Clouds of sulfur ash" it...
Back to page top"Clouds of sulfur ash" it is....
According to Peter's World..
Peter's questions must have come from Anti-Global warming fanactics' top one hundred list.
And you mentioned the "Gore" word to boot.
It is obvious that while Peter may be able to write down the questions, he has no understanding of the complexity of Earth Science related to Global Warming.
Here we're (Gore is) actually taking the "passive approach" and Peter doesn't even know it!
The problem with right wing Republicans is they can't see the "forest
for the trees."
So, who would we rather have with their hand on the Earth Controls, William or Peter?
"So, who would we rather...
Back to page top"So, who would we rather have with their hand on the Earth Controls..."
Answer: neither. For now:
http://williamgwood.home.comcast.net/~williamgwood/P9230001.JPG
http://williamgwood.home.comcast.net/~williamgwood/P9230003.JPG
I'm going to write more about this soon in an open letter to Senator McCain, a man for whom I have tremendous respect. But this party is not fit for highest office at this time, and this issue is one of the reasons why.
(BTW, my wife's car has a sticker, too, but I don't show the photo of it. Thanks go out to the jerk who swerved around her and my 2 and 4 year old daughters to give her the finger last week.)
6. What do you do with those...
Back to page top6. What do you do with those of us who won't play along? Will you use the violent and coercive force of government to force me to comply?
Let me tell a little story.
The friend I mentioned above who got himself a national monument is a guy named Dave Willis. I met him through a program at Westmont College called Inoculum (http://www.westmont.edu/inoculum/general.html). The year I went on the Inoculum, we spent a week rock climbing in the high backcountry of Yosemite, entering the park from the northwest corner via the Hoover Wilderness.
Dave, himself, is quite a story. His outfit takes legislators (usually on horseback) into threatened wilderness areas mainly in California and Oregon to show them firsthand what is at stake. I know Dave best through his letters, and in them I can feel his wild swings from hope to despair as opportunities to save wild areas arise and, all too often, are lost. I have seldom seen honest passion like this in anyone.
When he was a young man, Dave was on a two-man expedition to climb Mt. McKinley. The pair were caught in a violent snowstorm and his partner began to succumb to hypothermia. One of the effects of hypothermia is childlike behavior, and as a result, Dave's pal lost his pack over a cliff. That was bad enough, but the real problem was that their tent was of a type that split in two: each carried half. So there Dave was, on a mountain with a hypothermiating partner and no tent. What did he do? He tied his parter up in his own sleeping bag and waited out the storm. Using a mirror, he was able to signal to another expedition some miles away, but the storm rolled back in and the rescue helicopter was not able to arrive until a day later.
By that time, Dave's hands and feet were frozen solid.
Well, the two were rescued the next day. Dave lost his hands and feet; his buddy suffered minor frostbite. Since then, Dave gets into the backcountry on horseback. He's been doing this for I don't know how many years, but it's more than twenty. My point is that it takes a LOT of love for the wild to keep doing what he does. Dave is a religious guy and for him, the wilderness is an expression of God's love.
So here's the thing. On the day we set out on the Inoculum trip, I piled into Dave's beat-up old pickup, specially fitted so he could drive it, and we started driving toward the trailhead. We were driving on a country road somewhere between Bridgeport and the Hoover Wilderness and Dave was sipping a Coke. Finishing it, he looked over at us...then, without saying a word of explanation, tossed it right out the window.
I don't pretend to know all that Dave meant by that. But part of it, I think, was to shine a light on it: our disregard for the planet is UGLY. Yes, we have the freedom and ability to do as we will. But with that comes great responsibility.
So, Peter, you can "play along" or not. My hope is that the solution will not involve the "violent and coercive force of government" to a degree much worse than the "coercion" the government applies when it tells you to stop at a red light. I really believe that that will be possible.
But in the end, I'd worry more about the coercion of my conscience.
What if it turns out that...
Back to page topWhat if it turns out that the whole thing is a crock?
In the buildup to the war in Iraq, the argument was that our intelligence supported the belief that Saddam had developed weapons of mass destruction, especially biological weapons, and that he thereby posed a direct threat to us as he might share them with al Qaeda or similar terrorist organizations. Personally, I was very torn. The "evidence" that Colin Powell presented to the UN clearly was not sufficient to establish the presence of WMDs "beyond a reasonable doubt," but combined with Saddam's history of defiance toward the UN plus the unspeakable destructive power that WMDs represent, I reluctantly concluded that there was a "preponderance of evidence" that justified the invasion.
You see, I hope, where this is going...
We humans are fallible. Even when we try our best, using our best tools and processes, we make mistakes. Could the science of climate change be wrong? Sure. But our best is just that, our best. It is what we HAVE to go on. The whole premise of the war in Iraq was based on a mistake. That does not mean that we should not have done what we did. We did what we did based on our best knowledge at the time. We must do the same now for climate change. Let's just hope -- as I firmly believe -- that our scientific community will have done us better than our intelligence community.
HSBC, Met Office Start...
Back to page topHSBC, Met Office Start Climate-Change Service for Fund Managers
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601130&sid=a1zAq4Dq2n4c&refer=e...
"The impact of climate change and weather on our world has been accepted by the finance industry as a key driver of financial decision-making," Met Office Chairman Robert Napier said. By using "our expert research and advice, fund managers will be able to better manage their risks and adapt portfolios to meet the challenges of our changing climate."
Why, those radical, socialistic, uh...fund managers?
Yeah, sounds like a crock, fo shizzle.
Tyranny of the...
Back to page topTyranny of the Urgent
Today's Oct 16 issue of the Wall Street Journal has an article entitled "Costs of Curbing Global-Warming Emissions Are a Tough Sell in U.S., Europe Amid Economic Disruption and Financial Uncertainty." A blogger copied it here:
http://cquestor.blogspot.com/2008/10/climate-effort-could-be-stalled-by....
The "urgent" is often at odds with those things we otherwise would say are our highest priorities. The "urgent," in this case, is our economy -- and in this case, the "urgent" is not only pressing but also quite properly of high priority. Climate change, I would argue, trumps even the economy in terms of priority, though (which is NOT to say that solutions to one must negatively affect the other -- it is not a zero-sum game). The clear danger is that climate change does not carry with it the psychological sense of urgency that the economy does.
My only point here is that navigating priorities in a circumstance where a high-priority item is also urgent is going to be a VERY delicate balancing act. We should all stand ready to help our leadership with this in whatever ways we can.
Obama, McCain Battle for...
Back to page topObama, McCain Battle for Science Cred
http://dsc.discovery.com/news/2008/10/16/obama-mccain-science.html
From the article: Both men [McCain and Obama] propose a dramatic reduction in emissions of carbon dioxide -- the chief man-made greenhouse gas -- but their long-term goals are slightly different. Obama wants an 80 percent reduction by 2050. McCain, who wants a 60 percent cap, was an early leader in proposing mandatory emissions caps, bucking his party and his president. (Emphasis mine.)
It may suprise some to learn that addressing climate change is actually embedded in the Republican Party platform this year.
So, truth be told, McCain is not currently bucking his party, at least, not officially. That said, however, this very thread and many others like it (e.g. "I think catastrophic man-made global warming is 100% B.S." http://theactivistnextdoor.blogspot.com/2008/10/debate-thoughts-3.html) show that McCain, is, indeed, at odds with the inclinations of many Republicans. A maverick, yes, but that just means he is a lonely voice who, if elected, will be in tremendous debt to a Republican base that does not wholeheartedly agree with him. His selection of Palin, who full-flops on the question of humans having anything to do with climate change (http://politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/715/) and whose contention that "we gotta do something about" climate change (wink wink) is nearly absurd in the context of her uncertainty about its causes, strongly exemplifies this. What priority do you suppose a President Palin would give to addressing climate change?
More to come...
Much to respond to, so...
Back to page topMuch to respond to, so little time.
The first point of disagreement is whether global warming is happening at all. Is the planet heating up? Does the earth have a fever? So far your answer is: Some people think it is.
Great. The obvious response of course is: Many people do not. 31,000 scientists including 9,000 with PhD’s have said that AGW is a false religion. I’m told that the list of skeptics even includes two notable Twin Cities meteorologists.
Hmmm . . . are they all crackpots? Are they all just being paid to say that by big oil? We'll explore that more at that another time . . . .
So -- Are we in a crisis? Is the earth burning up? Do we need big government socialists to save us from the impending doom?
Let's start with the IPCC -- the U.N panel that is primarily responsible for promoting the current global warming hysteria. They say that the earth has warmed up about 1C over the past century. An average of all 38 standards from the IPCC shows that it is expected to rise about 0.2C in the next decade.
But the data coming back is actually showing that things are BETTER than expected. Hooray! The models are wrong! According to at least three of the four global metrics -- GISS, HadCRUT, UAH, and RSS -- global temperatures have pretty much been cooler than expected. Temps are actually cooling slightly (between 0.01 and 0.1C per decade).
Even more important, the temperatures of the world’s oceans have been dropping for the past four years where we have measurements. And no one seems to know why. We know that temperatures in our relatively thin atmosphere can change quickly, but no one knows why the oceans are cooling.
We hear that the Arctic sea ice is disappearing. It’s true - it is. The Northwest Passage is now open for the first time since the year 2000. But most serious scientists attribute this to a wind pattern known as "arctic oscillation" -- a wind pattern that does not allow build-up of old ice. And we almost never hear about the other side of the earth -- did you know that the ice in the Antarctic is actually growing?
The IPCC has already had one of the big theories they were promoting blow up in their face. Remember the infamous "hockey stick" model? It turns out that it was an enormous hoax.
We are told that because of AGW, the sea levels will rise. According to Al Gore, they will rise 20 feet or more. Wooo -- scary! Yet according to the IPCC, they see a rise of less than 2 feet over the next 100 years -- and they keep having to revise their estimates DOWNWARD. We have had satellites measuring sea levels since 1992. They have indeed shown a slight increase of about 1 inch per year. But in the last two years, the sea levels rises have actually leveled off and even dropped slightly. This is great news! Why aren’t we being told about this wonderful new development?
And what is this we hear from your friends at NASA? Are they telling us that average global temperatures are cooling? Rejoice! The earth has broken its fever. Welcome to the new ice age. Take that money you were planning to spend on carbon credits and go buy yourself a parka -- you'll need it!
Even the Farmer’s Almanac, that venerable annual compilation of astronomical calculations, says that we will be having a cooler than normal Winter this year.
So -- if I can prove to you that global warming is indeed NOT happening -- or at least is nowhere near the catastrophic dimension that Gore and others are screaming about -- then can you and all the other socialists leave the rest of us alone? Can you stop trying to ruin American industry and kill American jobs? Can you stop taking tax money to subsidizes expensive energy like wind and solar and ethanol? Can you stop blocking attempts to drill for oil domestically? Can you let us finally please take off that silly state moratorium on cheap clean nuclear power (Minnesota is the only state in the nation to have a complete ban on even CONSIDERING nuclear)?
Can we get Al "live as I say, not as I do" Gore to take some of the enormous wealth he has amassed --from his film and his speaking engagements and all those bogus carbon credit scams -- to pay off some of your and my family’s Winter heating bills? Can we stop banning light bulbs? Can we get that peace prize back?
I’ll have to get to the question of AGW -- the idea that MANKIND and not the sun is the PRIMARY cause of global warming -- at a later time.
The global warming theory...
Back to page topThe global warming theory states gases like carbon dioxide, water vapor, methane, and others (some resulting as an industrial byproduct) let in the sun’s rays but trap in the heat energy that bounces off the Earth, acting like greenhouse windows. As more “greenhouse gases” enter Earth’s atmosphere, the amount of trapped heat increases. With the increase in heat, we see adverse results, like floods, droughts, and wildfires. For the global warming deniers, how is the science behind this theory wrong?
There is also confusion between global warming and depletion of the ozone layer in the atmosphere. Ozone in the stratosphere protects Earth by shielding it from the sun’s ultraviolet radiation. Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) come from aerosol cans and refrigerators and break apart the ozone molecules. (CFCs and ozone (when found in the troposphere) are also greenhouse gases, adding to the confusion.) Thanks to the 1987 Montreal treaty, their use is decreasing.
In contrast, dust, like volcanic ash and dust from the impact of a comet or meteor, can block sunlight and prevent the heating of Earth. One example of this effect is the eruption of Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines on July 15, 1991. That was the year of the Halloween Blizzard in the Twin Cities. Eventually, most of the dust settles, leaving the global warming crisis unresolved.
Another factor in global temperatures is the sunspot cycle, which, according to 2009 Edition of The Old Farmer’s Almanac, appears headed towards a decline for radiation that Earth will receive. However, with the possible decline in global temperatures until the end of the cycle, there could be worse weather due to the recent melting of the polar ice caps. All that water has to go somewhere.
One more question to think about: Will the loss of radiation energy from the sun due to the sunspot cycle negate the effect of greenhouse gases trapping heat energy in the atmosphere?
CL, you call them “global...
Back to page topCL, you call them “global warming deniers”. I assure you: I’m not denying anything.
My question is: Why do we have people like Al Gore and other political elites running around the country saying that it is a fact. If we don’t turn things around in 10 years, we’re going to boil the ice caps. Manhattan will be under water. Al Gore shows us pictures of South Florida being submerged.
You can’t find one serious scientist who believes such garbage.
You call it “global warming crisis” -- yet there is no crisis. Warnings of crisis always grab headlines -- whether or not they are in fact a crisis. Killer bees at one time were going to get us. Anthrax, SARS, mad cow disease, Y2K, saccharine, DDT, Nutrasweet -- these are all scares one after another. Cell phones are going to give you brain cancer. Every time you turn around, someone is telling you: Be afraid -- be very very afraid.
That's why we like to read scary books. That’s why we go to horror movies. That’s why we believe in Al Gore and Global Warming.
And scared we are. I've talked to kids who are seriously, seriously, seriously scared about this. They buy into the whole deal. They have seen Al Gores movie and they are terrified. They are obsessed. They think polar bears are dying. They actually believe that Eden Prairie may someday soon be under water. This is depressing. You, CL, are doing this to them. And I'm telling you, CL, that all you think you know about this so-called crisis may not be so.
Did you know, CL, that the IPCC -- the main proponent of global warming hysteria -- is an inter-GOVERNMENTAL panel on climate change. These are politicians, not scientists. Governments appoint these people. They are essentially activists.
When the IPCC report came out, many of the scientists were only given a portion of the report or sometimes a single statement and then asked to sign their names. They were not allowed to see the entire report and did not know that their signing would be portrayed as agreeing to the entire report. Some have had to sue to get their names OFF the report.
Does it matter to you at all that many of the signers of the IPCC report disagreed with the ultimate conclusions of its study? Is this what liberals call "consensus"?
In all the confusion about AGW -- one thing is clear. Global Warming extremists DON'T WELCOME SKEPTICISM. You smear people as "deniers". Heck, if you read this entire thread from beginning to end, you can see it -- how DARE you question our religion! You heretic! You stooge of the big oil companies!
This is debate through intimidation. It is not science. If you have to declare a debate to be over, then chances are that its not.
Al Gore says the seas will rise 20 feet. Yet the IPCC says it may rise a few inches. Polar bear populations are steady or rising. A British judge ruled that schools showing the Al Gore film needed to report on 9 inaccuracies before being allowed to show the film in class.
Yet - the global warming extremists say there are no skeptics. The globe may be warming, but yet climate changes all the time. Is man doing it? Would Kyoto do any good? No -- none.
If America signed Kyoto and if every country that did sign it obeyed it (which they are NEVER going to do) and China and India were included in the agreement (again, never going to happen) -- do you know what? It would make hardly any difference. Even the proponents of Kyoto admit that.
If all the countries signed Kyoto and obeyed it -- according to the IPCC -- it would lower temperatures by less than one tenth of one degree. Is that worth destroying our economy? Is that worth imposing $100 per gallon gasoline? How will you fund, for example, education? How will you fund free college tuition, free health care, free mortgages, government owned coffee shops and all the other socialist programs you liberals are saying government must provide?
At the bottom of this is a hatred of capitalism and a hatred of industry. You talk about industrial pollutants -- yet the United States and other wealthy nations are among the cleanest places on earth. Yes it’s true that we produce more carbon dioxide, but it is also true that we are the cleanest country in the world.
As we become wealthier as a nation, the air gets cleaner and we can afford to do things that less wealthy countries cannot. If we let socialists like you take over our lives, we will all be worse off. Government funded coffee shops will be the least of your troubles.
...are they all...
Back to page top...are they all crackpots?
Hey, crazy-busy this week so a fuller reply will have to wait until the weekend. But my short reply is: no, absolutely they are not all crackpots (which isn't to say there aren't some in the mix). There absolutely are highly qualified scientists who are skeptical. I am totally serious when I say that I think the research needs to continue and indeed be bolstered. My argument, though, is that there is a preponderance of evidence that compels us to act. As I said above, we do not need certainty here...we need only 51% probability, which I contend we have. By dragging our feet on this point, the only thing we accomplish is to ensure it won't be a Republican who will be the one in power to direct the policy. Solutions to climate change do NOT have to be incompatible with the kind of freedoms we know and enjoy today. But they sure *could* be.
Last thought until later: "global warming" is poor terminology. The issue is that the atmosphere is retaining increased heat energy. Globally, over the long term, yes, this will result in "global warming." But as with any complex system, if you inject additional energy into it, the results will be increasingly chaotic. Locally, that may or may not play out as warming. There will be areas that may get cooler, areas that may get wetter, areas that may get dryer. There will be positive and negative feedbacks that will put the system in increased turmoil. We will almost certainly see changes that no one today has or can predict. The point is, don't be thrown by the idea that "warming" is the issue (and for sure don't confuse weather with climate). The issue is that we are increasing the amount of energy in the atmosphere, and while climate models predict results with accuracy that some dispute, no scientist, I think, would dispute that we are venturing into unknown territory by doing this. Again, my assertion above is that the measured and reasonable thing to do, as soon as possible, is to reduce the amount of energy trapped in the atmosphere by reducing emissions of the gasses that do the trapping.
Well, it's possible. And it...
Back to page topWell, it's possible. And it was possible that the killer bees were all going to come up here and sting us to death. And it was possible that Y2K was going to crash all the planes. And it was possible that pesticides were going to cause a cancer epidemic and cause frog genitalia to shrink and make us all sterile.
The scares from the radical environmental groups just come one after the other. None has been true. It's POSSIBLE that this one will be true. It is simply NOT TRUE to say that there is a scientific consensus that global warming will be a catastrophe.
I suggest a better strategy is to wait -- see what happens. These models have NOT been very good at predicting the future. There are many scientists that disagree with them, despite what you say. Let's see what happens. Don't make the country poor based on an ill-advised theory.
You want to reduce emissions? The only real way to significantly reduce those emissions is to significantly reduce economic activity. In fact some global warming extremists are gleefully cheering on the recent economic downturn -- a bad economy means fewer greenhouse gases.
You lost your job? Your 401K is worthless? Hooray -- another victory for our mother the Earth.
Beyond a shadow of a doubt, the radical left is anti-business. They want people (especially those living in capitalist countries) to believe their conduct is causing global warming and, therefore, destroying our planet. That is the mantra. Therefore, radical environmentalism absolutely has capitalism in its crosshairs. It is those of us who benefit from the fruits of personal liberty and a free economy that are being turned into enemies in the daily sociological and political discourse of radical environmentalists.
Here's an example -- a Marxist site that demands that the way to beat global warming is to get rid of the free market. World capitalism is the enemy.
You say a Republican should fix it? I'm saying that we shouldn't turn our freedoms over to anyone -- not socialist Republicans and not socialist Democrats. Allowing government to tell us we cannot have air conditioning or tell poor people they can't own a car is crazy.
Clearly the climate is changing -- the Earth warms and cools all the time -- it has before. Is it all our fault? Is changing a light bulb going to make any difference? Some of what the global warming crowd is saying is just plain silly.
Climate changes. Greenland was once called Greenland for a reason. It doesn't mean that man is doing it and that our not driving a car is going to stop it. I love to ride my bike. I recycled before it was popular to do so. In many ways I am your classic environmental role model. But I don't think losing our freedom and liberty is a good idea nor do I think it will stop this so-called crisis.
The only real way to...
Back to page topThe only real way to significantly reduce those emissions is to significantly reduce economic activity.
That, right there, is the false premise that has you so scared.
Then why have the Kyoto...
Back to page topThen why have the Kyoto emissions controls been such a resounding failure? Why has no country that has signed the protocol seen fit to meet the emissions limits? Why did China and India refuse to sign? Because they don't want the corresponding damage to their economies. I guess they believe in the same false premise.
Kyoto was a half measure. As...
Back to page topKyoto was a half measure. As I said above, under no circumstances may we morally entertain half measures.
A strategic switch to nuclear power, combined with a robust carbon sequestration market, a gradual phasing-in of electric and hydrogen cars and development of non-nuclear clean-power technologies that we can share with developing nations, will do the trick. Jobs will shift, yes, but there is nothing in this that implies anything but growing new jobs and providing clean power to drive a robust economy. (It also solves the energy crisis that in fact is a national security crisis.)
I suggest a better strategy is to wait -- see what happens.
Normally, I would agree. The trouble with being cautious on this issue, though, is that greenhouse gasses, particularly when they reach the upper parts of the atmosphere, stay put for decades. The upper atmosphere is a very stable place and these are light gasses. That means we have decades worth of warming already in the pipeline, no matter what we do today. The link I posted above to the article on the unfreezing of the tundra is important to remember here. If the Russian tundra unfreezes and releases its presently sequestered methane (a better greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide), then we could see a runaway feedback to the system that we could do absolutely nothing about. And we may already have ordered-up enough warming to do this, no matter what actions we take now. It may already be too late. Maybe, maybe not. But dorking around doing nothing is as immoral as a half-measure response.
I am sure you are no fan of the late Carl Sagan. But his mid-90's remarks are prescient on this point. "Certainly we must be careful not to rush off half-cocked like Croesus and discover that at huge expense we've done something unnecessary or stupid or dangerous," he writes. "But even more irresponsible is to ignore an impending catastrophe and naively hope it will go away. Can't we find some middle ground of policy response, which is appropriate to the seriousness of the problem, but which does not ruin us...?"
The "middle ground" I've articulated above is not the one Sagan would have wanted. He was not a fan of nuclear. But I am sure he would agree that we are way past the point where forceful policy response of some kind is a moral imperative.
And yet even the half...
Back to page topAnd yet even the half measure proved to be too expensive. You're making my point. Of the countries that signed Kyoto -- none of them could meet the commitments they signed onto. So what would your WHOLE measure cost?
The radical environmentalists claim we can "save the planet at minimal cost" so they sabotaged the petroleum industry. As gas prices rose over $4.00, they discovered that normal people in America do not consider $4.00 gas to be a "minimal cost."
If it costs you $80 to fill my tank instead of $40, you now have $40 less to spend on, say, a pair of Nikes or maybe taking your family to a Twins game.
Land used to grow corn for ethanol now cannot be used to grow other crops -– wheat, beans, or other crops. Since corn is now burned instead of used for food, the cost of ALL food goes up.
Businesses that get taxed to pay for "carbon credits" now have to raise their prices. There is now less money to go to employee salaries, bonuses, capital investments, other expenses.
You are willing to commit my scarce resources (my paycheck) toward a project that has dubious merit. Some costs of the recently debated Warner-Lieberman legislation entered into the trillions of dollars range. But do you know that nowhere in the bill -- nowhere -- was there any benefit defined.
And is this the most efficient use of our money? Are there other problems that might be more pressing? Other low hanging fruit -- REAL problems where we could be achieving REAL solutions.
There was a group of economists -- including 5 Nobel laureates -- that were asked that exact question. Perhaps you heard of it -- it was called the Copenhagen Consensus. They were asked to research our capabilities to combat various problems -- air pollution, conflict, disease, global warming, hunger and malnutrition, lack of education, enslavement of women, lack of water and sanitation, terrorism, trade barriers. This group was not "in the pocket of big oil" -- one of the researchers was even the lead author of the IPCC report (the group that shared last year's peace prize with Gore).
The group's finding was interesting to say the least. They found out that spending $800 billion to fight global warming over the next 100 years solely on mitigating carbon emissions would decrease our temperature by less than 0.2 degrees C. This hardly seems like an efficient use of scarce resources.
They didn't go so far as say we should ignore global warming but they said that, instead of coercing people and businesses to use less carbon, a better way to use those scarce resources would be to spend more on research and development of alternative fuel.
But -- and here is the interesting part -- even this consensus solution did not even crack the top 10 list on how to solve the world's problems.
The solutions proposed aren't flashy or sexy. They're not going to grab headlines. Al Gore won't be making a movie about them. Their number one suggestion? Vitamin A and zinc supplements. Number 3? Iron supplements and salt ionization.
The most surprising was what came in at number 2. Far from a government action, rather it is an action that increases human liberty: increased free trade. Yes, free trade is good for the poor AND good for the environment -- regardless of the political hostility currently aimed at it by Barack Obama.
Good economies mean people have more money in their pockets. More money in our pockets means we will have better food, better health care, better education -- and a better environment.
When you and other politicians are spending money to fight global warming you aren't spending your money -- you are spending mine. And you'd better believe I want a say in it!
The incentive is not that we are using the money most efficiently, the incentive is that we are "doing something" (or at least the APPEARANCE of doing something). With global warming on the front page every day, any politician seen to be engaged in the "fight" against global warming is perceived to be a visionary, a hero. On the other hand a TRULY VISIONARY group of economists is showing us that there are BETTER ways to allocate these resources. Fighting global warming is one of the WORST ways to spend that money.
If you truly want to help people, if that is really your goal (rather than self-serving, short-sighted solutions to non-problems), then you should support politicians who read and follow the recommendations of the Copenhagen Commission.
The Coppenhagen Consensus...
Back to page topThe Coppenhagen Consensus contradicts nearly every point you have tried to make througout this thread. Their ranking of solutions is not meant in any way to say that those lower on the list should not be pursued...it just means that they have a lower cost/benefit ratio. Good grief, look at the first two sentences of the Global Warming paper:
Their recommendation is to:
They give a net-present-value investment of $800 billion in this strategy a net-present-value benefit of $2129 billion.
They even conclude that:
Are we reading the same thing, here??? You're absolutely right: the Coppenhagen Consensus is some brilliant stuff. But, dude, they are not saying what you think they are.
I think you're the one that...
Back to page topI think you're the one that is reading it wrong. The central theme of the Copenhagen Consensus -- and the part that you are apparently ignoring is the idea of scarcity as an economic concept.
Liberals don't like to hear about scarcity. They want to fund EVERYTHING. Locally we have liberals who scream because people like me think that coffee shops and immigrant liaisons are not the proper role of local government. To a liberal the sky's the limit -- let's fund it all!
Economists understand scarcity. There isn't an unlimited amount of cash to spend on every want or need. So choices have to be made. The question addressed by the Copenhagen Consensus is: What investments would do the most good for the most people? What would do the most good economically?
Out of the 40 proposals that they were presented, do you know where global warming ranked? It ranked 30th.
Yet -- to hear the average liberal talk -- there is no more important issue. That is why many see it as a kind of religion. You take it basically on faith that we are in a crisis. You invent proofs like the polar bears are dying and the Russian tundra is going to melt. And then you demand control of our lives and treasure. And, dude, it's not worth it.
As the director of the CC later wrote the enormous costs of cap and trade and carbon capture schemes have highly speculative benefits: "A reduction in carbon emissions has become an end in itself. The fortune spent on this exercise could achieve an astounding amount of good elsewhere."
I know it's hard to believe, but few people on the planet really think much about global warming. For the vast majority of mankind, it's a daily struggle to eat and keep a roof over their heads that defines their existence. Western liberals could care less if people starve. Money must be wasted on ill-defined goals that will never be met while real people are left on the sidelines. That's the ultimate irony - and tragedy - of the global warming hoax.
Half Measures And yet even...
Back to page topHalf Measures
And yet even the half measure proved to be too expensive...So what would your WHOLE measure cost?
Perhaps I was not clear. What I mean by a half measure is spending a bunch of effort and money that ultimately doesn't do anything (except, perhaps, symbolically). It's effectively a negative cost/benefit investment. And that is both dumb (for obvious reasons) and dangerous, because it does not solve the real problem and risks making us think we have.
What I am describing above, I believe, has a positive cost/benefit, which is exactly why it would be attractive to private investors. (BTW, I am personally researching my investments in energy tech right now. Are you?)
Kyoto imposed draconian...
Back to page topKyoto imposed draconian restrictions on economic growth and personal freedom (limits on electricty use, driving, travel). I'm glad you agree that these measures would have been idiotic.
But the idiots who brought us Kyoto keep pressing on.
The president of GM, Bob Lutz, says that the new fuel efficiency rules imposed by our wonderful U.S. Congress will add $6,000 to the cost of the average GM vehicle by the end of the next decade.
How many of us have an extra $6,000 just laying around? We can call it a "global warming tax".
David Fredosso writes: "This is part of the new direction for America. Inflate of the price of cars, fuel, and food. Justify it by scaring people with hyperbolic, doomsday predictions about unknown (and mostly unknowable) future effects of global warming. Throw in the doubtful proposition that incremental steps like this can do ANYTHING to stop global warming, and you might fool some people into thinking that it's worth accepting an economy they can't afford to live in."
Speaking of investments, GM is now saddled with health care costs and pension liabilities in addition to the new global warming tax that has just been imposed by Congress. And guess what? Their bond rating is currently in "junk" status. Remember the saying: As GM goes, so goes the rest of the country?
I basically agree with...
Back to page topI basically agree with everything you say here about the impact to automakers like GM. That's why my thinking above is not to impose emission controls on current cars, but rather to sequester the carbon they emit. Ultimately, though, GM has got to get its act together or companies like Honda (with its hot hydrogen Clarity: http://automobiles.honda.com/fcx-clarity/?ef_id=1097:3:s_187a8df27e4f4fe...) are going to do the general in. I have a hard time believing that if Honda can develop cars like this GM can't.
The central theme of the...
Back to page topThe central theme of the Copenhagen Consensus -- and the part that you are apparently ignoring is the idea of scarcity as an economic concept.
Let's put this in perspective. The theoretical framework the CC gave themselves was a budget of $18.75 billion per year (http://www.copenhagenconsensus.com/Admin/Public/DWSDownload.aspx?File=%2...). The 2009 US defense budget alone is $515.5 billion, not including an additional $70 billion to support Global War on Terror activities (http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/fy2009/pdf/budget/defense.pdf).That is, the CC gave themselves about 3% of the real-world US defense budget. Come on: scarcity of resources is not a real-world issue here.
What's more, the CC's theoretical priority was to determine how best to spend their theoretical budget to "advanc(e) global welfare, and particularly the welfare of...developing countries." This is a noble goal and I have no issue with it. It is not, however, the priority guidance of the US government.
Yes, in the judgement of the CC there are investments that have a higher cost/benefit payout and that's where they spend their $18.75 billion. But as the authors of the challenge paper assert, if you fail to invest on the global warming challenge, it will "seriously compromise efforts to ameliorate other challenges." They spend their money first on the low-hanging fruit. No problem, but unless someone else tackles the big problem, in the end the value of that "fruit" gets seriously compromised -- because the people who would eat it are dead.
I'm not saying we as a country should ignore the goal of "global welfare" -- our national security is, to some significant degree, directly related to it. But we have a particular interest in addressing climate change precisely because it is one of the legitimate roles of government to intervene for the common good when other entities are not incented to do it. It's icing on the cake that doing so not only solves the problem of exporting billions to hostile countries, but even yields a hard-cash profit to private investors.
All that said, the CC solutions *are* brilliant. Any charity worth its salt should be challenged by them, and in fact I will use this list for guidance on my own charitable givings.
P.S. The hit count on this thread just topped 42k. Pretty soon it will dethrone factchecker.
In order to "capture" CO2 -...
Back to page topIn order to "capture" CO2 - which is NOT a pollutant -- you have to release more real pollutants into the air. You have to compress the CO2 about 100 times atmospheric pressure (which takes energy). Then you have to transport it to some underground storage (which takes energy). Then it has to be pumped into the ground (which takes energy).
A coal power plant that sequesters CO2 will have to burn an extra 30 percent more coal to cover these needs. More coal, more mining, more transporting of the coal from the mine to the power plant, more pollution, more REAL pollutants like particulate matter and various noxious oxides, more acid rain -- all of which have negative environmental effects.
But here's the punch line: Even with all of these added expenses -- a CO2 sequestering plant will have a greatly diminished yield -- some 70-80 percent less energy than a normal plant.
Yet one more reason that your solutions -- while they sound nice -- will ultimately NOT be the answer. If you truly buy into the whole global warming religion -- that it exists, that man is the primary cause, that it will lead to ultimate catastrophe -- the ONLY real answer is to mandate LESS consumption, LESS production, FEWER people, not technological miracles.
And that, unfortunately, is where we are headed.
Well, we may indeed be...
Back to page topWell, we may indeed be headed that way. McCain was the last, best shot for trying some other way -- and I'll concede that maybe you're right...maybe there is no technological solution -- so that maybe he would have hit a wall anyway. I've been a project manager for over a decade, though, and the one thing I've learned in that job is never to give up. I could tell you some stories on that, some in progress right now. And you know, that dogged unwillingness to give up on solutions that preserve freedom is exactly why I remain a Republican. I honestly would have liked to see McCain give this problem a shot, and you still haven't convinced me that a technological solution is impossible. Benford's suggestion to let farm waste be our sequestration engine still intrigues me. The project manager in me says it can be done.
But the problem with McCain, and the reason he lost my vote, is that he is hostage now to a party that will not support him. I know you still think there isn't really even a climate problem to worry about. On that we are simply at an impasse. Trouble is, so would be McCain, and there ends his ability to do anything significant. It's crazy. On the one hand, you've got a man who wants to give nuclear a go and at least try to solve the problem, but a party who ultimately will undercut him, and on the other hand you've got a guy whose party will support him, but who hedges on the one technology that maybe -- maybe -- could get us through.
Well, I think that about wraps it up for now on this subject. Not sure there is much more that can fruitfully be added. I have to say, the Copenhagen Consensus *really* impressed me. Best angle I've heard to date, so thank you for that. And I will definitely be reading the book mentioned on the site.
Folks, it's someone else's turn now.
"blah blah blah" Oh, boy....
Back to page top"blah blah blah"
Oh, boy. Sorry, I saw this and just had to comment. This is from McCain's speech at Northern Iowa University yesterday:
Oh, Senator.
Set aside for the moment that I agree with you on the topic. This is NOT the level of discourse we need on what is without question an important issue. You do not blah, blah, blah off the question of nuclear safety. This is one of THE critical issues with a strategic switch to nuclear and you MUST address it. THE key safety question is when (or indeed WHETHER) the DOE will get Yucca Mountain running, and that, my friend, is not one you can shrug off with a blah, blah, blah. How, as President, would you find out objectively if Yucca Mountain really is a safe storage facility? And, if it really will be safe, what will you do to clear the way for the facility to be completed? (I suspect you may need some help from Senator Reid and THAT is going to be a trick (http://reid.senate.gov/issues/yucca.cfm). Any plans for how you might get that?) Everything depends on your answers to these questions.
NASA: Methane On Rise After...
Back to page topNASA: Methane On Rise After Decade of Stability
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/view.php?id=35802
Summary:
The article provides two speculative causes but indicates that further study is needed to determine exactly why this is happening.
Ocean Cooling Based on Bad...
Back to page topOcean Cooling Based on Bad Data
In your Oct 22, post, you wrote: "And what is this (http://www.nasa.gov/home/hqnews/2006/sep/HQ_06318_Ocean_Cooling.html) we hear from your friends at NASA?"
Here is a follow-up from NASA, interviewing Josh Willis, one of the co-authors of the paper cited in your link:
It turns out the ocean cooling was based on bad data.
As the article puts it:
And that -- the need for more scientific research -- is something I think we agee upon, yes?
For this post, I would like...
Back to page topFor this post, I would like only those who already do agree that carbon dioxide emissions are a factor in global warming to read on. If you don't agree with this, then all that follows will be moot.
First, take a look at the EPA's personal emissions calculator:
When I run the numbers for my 4-member family, I come out to about 39-40 thousand pounds of emissions per year. (A factor that helps my numbers that probably is not available to many people is that my job can be performed remotely and my employer is amicable to letting me work from home quite a bit. That cuts out a 24-mile roundtrip commute for me 15-20 times per month, leaving the bulk of our car emissions to hauling the kids around to their various activities.)
My numbers look about like this:
I'd also point out that the reasonable efforts we take to recycle yield no more than a 4% reduction in emissions. We've already done the easy stuff in our home. Any further reduction in emissions is going to be hard.
Now, the Union of Concerned Scientists writes that
It's unfair, of course, to expect that this means an 80% reduction to each individual, but try working that math on your personal emissions results. You'd have to do something about the cars (and even if you got yourself a Tesla or a Clarity or even a Prius with a plug-in modification, some of the burden will simply shift from your auto emissions to your electricity emissions), you'd probably have to find an alternative to natural gas for heating your home, and...what the heck are you going to do about the emissions caused by generating the electricity you consume? Consume less electricity? Seriously, how much less can you possibly consume, especially if you are plugging in your car or hydrogen fuel compressor each night?
The point I'm coming back to is that we as a country will need to find a solution to deliver at least as much electricity as is currently demanded if not more, and in a way that does not generate greenhouse gasses. And I snipped off part of the Union of Concerned Scientists sentence. They add to the end of the sentence above
I'm going to keep coming back to this: nuclear is our only available technology that will solve for the given problem. It is a far-less-than-ideal solution, but the conversation now must turn to how to make nuclear power and store nuclear waste as safely as possible. Any waivering or hoping for pie-in-the-sky solutions is just ignoring the problem constraints and wasting precious time. I'm going to start posting thoughts about things we can do.
Some links:
http://www.ucsusa.org/assets/documents/nuclear_power/nuclear-power-in-a-...
http://climate.jpl.nasa.gov/
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/27582900/
More good news about Global...
Back to page topMore good news about Global Warming! NASA now admits that they BLUNDERED when they declared last month to be the "hottest October on record". See the full article here:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/main.jhtml?xml=/opinion/2008/11/16/do1610.xml
What caused the error? Apparently, NASA copied the figures wrong.
Yes, the same "funny math" that is currently taking place in Minnesota's Senate Race also apparently takes place at NASA. NASA now admits that they copied temperature records from Russia and other places ... from the previous month. That's right -- the "hottest October on record" ... was really September.
Oops!
The error was caught by U.S. meteorologists Anthony Watts and Steve McIntyre. Watts and McIntyre are the same Canadian scientists who were made famous when they debunked the Michael Mann's notorious "hockey stick" graph. Before it was debunked, the hockey stick graph was promoted as fact by global warming alarmists. It turns out even if you plug in random data into Mr. Mann's model, it ends up looking like a hockey stick.
Was October the hottest month ever? Apparently not. In fact of the 114 Octobers on record, last month ranked number 70 –- which actually makes it COOLER than average.
When the error was reported, NASA attempted to lie again. They claimed to have discovered another hotspot -– this one in the Arctic where satellite images are showing that sea ice is undergoing such a rapid recovery from its summer melt that the ice is actually 30 PERCENT THICKER than at the same time last year.
Last month scientists at MIT recorded nearly simultaneous world-wide increases in methane levels -- this the first increase in nearly 10 years. The new data contradicts other studies that state that man -- and not natural cycles -- are the primary source of increases in greenhouse gases.
SO WHY IS THIS IMPORTANT?
Your politicians are being heavily lobbied to place a huge economic bet on the notion that AGW (the theory that humans are the primary cause of Global Warming) is real.
Despite our shaky economy, businesses are gearing up -- at considerable cost -- to deal with new environmental regulations and complex carbon trading schemes our politicians are about to impose on them.
Instead of "Combatting Global Warming", our politicians may simply be Combatting Global Free Enterprise.
"Combating global warming" will be costly and will involve loss of freedom and a lower standard of living for all of us. It may be time to question politicians who want to put us on a path to economic ruin.
" It may be time to question...
Back to page top" It may be time to question politicians who want to put us on a path to economic ruin."
That time came and went; it was the election on November 4th. And voters natinwide overwhelmingly rejected Republican economic failures and elected Barak Obama.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closed last Friday at 8,497 - a 338 point loss from the day before. The 52 week high was last December 11th - 13,850. So, what were the Reaganomics Disciples - Art Laffer, Ben Stein, et al - saying on the talking heads circuits prior to the meltdown? Link here, to watch:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2I0QN-FYkpw
Our economy is in the toilet - and Reaganomics put it there. "Trickle-down" doesn't work; it never has and it never will. The economic mess President Obama will have to clean up is just like the economic mess President Clinton had to clean up when he took office, only worse. Much worse. Republicanism has destroyed the economy, and the recession will not be pretty. Place the blame squarely where it belongs - Republicans that refused to face reality.
Tommy, the stock market and...
Back to page topTommy, the stock market and commodity markets in general tend to be forward looking. If the economy under a newly elected president looks bleak, the markets will go down.
Obama promised to increase corporate taxes, capital gains taxes, the top marginal income tax rate, a massive new energy tax that will bankrupt coal, and his party is talking about a government takeover of 401(k) plans. So on Wednesday after the election the Dow drops about 486 points. The biggest post-election drop in history. The next day, Thursday, there was another big drop. And its been plunging ever since.
I suggest to you that this is not a coincidence. Many are even calling this the "Obama Recession". I don't think that is an unfair characterization.
Obama's prescription for the economy will devastate businesses. Raising the capital gains tax will instantly make every business in America worth less. Eliminating the 401K program will de-capitalize markets. Wall Street is reacting to that -- there is little reason to hope that these measures will help our economy.
As far as why Obama won, there was a recent Zogby poll as well as this humorous video where actual Obama voters were polled about why they voted the way they did. The poll and video soundly refute your claim that this election was a referendum on "Reaganomics".
For my part, I continue to wish that Republicans will re-discover market principles and fiscal discipline. A party that supports a bridge to nowhere, taxpayer funder baseball stadiums, massive bank bailouts, and cap and trade (McCain's position) is not a party that is interested in small government conservatism.
Peter, your post is just...
Back to page topPeter, your post is just silly. Here is a well-stated response to Christopher Booker's piece in the Telegraph: http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2008/11/mountains-and-mole.... (I won't point out that Booker is also the guy who thinks asbestos is chemically identical to talcum powder, but that's so. He's obviously an intellectual giant.) I suppose you can be excused for worrying about this stuff...you may have gotten it from such a noble source as -- hmmm -- the minority side of the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works. Wow. How could a guy like Inhofe possibly be in the minority? Peter, I think we found your playbook.
You know, I was so busy...
Back to page topYou know, I was so busy chuckling at your post that I forgot to say anything about your note on methane. Yeah, you've got a good one there. I mean, if we, through CO2 emmissions, indirectly cause the release of methane (recall from my post above, which you obviously did not read, that methane is 25 times more powerful a greenhouse gas than CO2), well, then obviously global warming is not man-made. It's just indirectly man-made. It's like when you're out drunk driving. If you're out drunk driving and you hit a parked car that subsequently hits someone and kills them, you're not responsible for killing them. The parked car is. (It was in the way of your personal freedoms, after all.)
Check this (skip to 4:12 in the clip): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SL5xmkEp7AI
Oh, yeah, you know what? You got me: I wasn't really chuckling at your post. Lauding what threatens the lives and welfare of millions isn't really so funny.
It's ironic that NASA's...
Back to page topIt's ironic that NASA's "error" was discovered the same week that the NBC Today show is running a series of global scare reports. http://newsbusters.org/blogs/mark-finkelstein/2008/11/17/scare-mongering...
We should expect that as Barack Obama gets closer to move-in day at the White House, that Global Warming Hysteria will begin to die down. Just as homelessness and the aids epidemic disappeared from nightly news reports, once Bill Clinton was elected President.
There is definitely something awry in the media, when the original reports make big news, but the subsequent discovery of erroneous data does not. It really isn't "silly" or something to "chuckle" about. It is good news, unless you're so caught up in the politics of the issue - that you take this personally, as a defeat for a cause in which you've placed so much faith. (Do you get upset when people refer to "An Inconvenient Truth" as a dramamentuary?)
Politics aside, you should be happy to know that the life expectancy for polar bears just went up!
Liberal bailout and green...
Back to page topLiberal bailout and green cars.
The point of the Democratic bailout is to protect the unions by preventing this kind of restructuring. Which will guarantee the continued failure of these companies, but now they will burn tens of billions of taxpayer dollars. It's the ultimate in lemon socialism.
Democrats are suggesting, however, an even more ambitious reason to nationalize. Once the government owns Detroit, it can remake it. The euphemism here is "retool" Detroit to make cars for the coming green economy.
Liberals have always wanted the auto companies to produce the kind of cars they insist everyone should drive: small, light, green and cute. Now they will have the power to do it.
In World War II, government had the auto companies turning out tanks. Now they would be made to turn out hybrids. The difference is that, in the middle of a world war, tanks have a buyer. Will hybrids? One of the reasons Detroit is in such difficulty is that consumers have been resisting the smaller, less powerful, less safe cars forced on the industry by fuel-efficiency mandates. Now Detroit would be forced to make even more of them.
If you think we have economic troubles today, consider the effects of nationalizing an industry of this size, but now run by bureaucrats issuing production quotas to fit five-year plans to meet politically mandated fuel-efficiency standards -- to lift us to the sunny uplands of the coming green utopia.
Republican minimalism -- saving the credit-issuing utilities -- certainly risks not doing enough. But the Democratic drift toward massive industrial policy threatens to grow into the guaranteed inefficiencies of command-economy maximalism.
In this crisis, we agree to suspend the invisible hand of Adam Smith -- but not in order to be crushed by the heavy hand of government.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/11/13/AR200811...
What's silly, Jagu, is to...
Back to page topWhat's silly, Jagu, is to think that an error on one data point is significant. If you think it is, you just don't get it.
It was many thousands of...
Back to page topIt was many thousands of data points that they got wrong. Do you get that?
Surely these experts must have thought the data was suspect, given that many parts of the world were much cooler during October, particularly Russia. Anyone who reads the USA today, would have had a hunch something wasn't right.
Did anyone at NASA question the data, only to be stifled by their extremist peers? Advocates of global warming theory (or climate change if you prefer) rely heavily on group- think.
Goddard blames the mistakes on outside sources and admits it does not have quality control over the measurements. This was a situation where simply eyeballing the date should have sent up red flags, but it didn't.
As a matter of practice they accept data without knowing if it is reliable. If you think that is not significant, then you just don't get it.
Do you have any doubt that if those readings had mistakenly shown October to be one of the coldest on record, Goddard would have caught it? This is yet one more example of global warming enthusiasts cherry picking the evidence.
Liberals Take Private Jets...
Back to page topLiberals Take Private Jets to Inauguration of Global Warming President
By Bob Ellis on January 20th, 2009
Don’t you love these liberals and their stark hypocrisy?
They whine and moan about people’s SUVs and electrical power plants causing global warming…while flying their private jets to attend the inauguration of the new High Priest of Global Warming (though Al Gore may still wrestle President Obama for that title).
From the Wall Street Journal:
According to an article in Bloomberg, as many as 600 private jets were expected to touch down in D.C. for the inauguration. The runway at Washington Dulles was closed Saturday to allow as many as 100 small planes to park. And the Metropolitan Washington Airports Authority said it expected a total of 500 small jets to land from Jan. 16 through Jan 21.
Good thing anthropogenic global warming is a total farce, or we might be much closer to doom after today.
Of course, sacrifices are really for the little people. After all, the elites need all the modern trappings in order to be able to effectively tell us what’s good for us. If they were not aided by these technological marvels that are too good for the rest of us, we the unwashed masses might become more lost and further harm our precious Earth Goddess.
How comforting to know that the liberal elites will bear the burden of the tremendous guilt which must come with flying in these private jets. They save us from the burden of such guilt, even as they attempt to save us from ourselves.
http://www.dakotavoice.com/2009/01/liberals-take-private-jets-to-inaugur...
http://www.cbc.ca/ideas/featu...
Back to page tophttp://www.cbc.ca/ideas/features/climate-wars/index.html
http://www.youtube.com/user/w...
Back to page tophttp://www.youtube.com/user/wonderingmind42
Expanded nuclear power gets...
Back to page topExpanded nuclear power gets a hearing in Minnesota
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/29828806
Marketplace: Nuclear power a...
Back to page topMarketplace: Nuclear power a less toxic subject
http://marketplace.publicradio.org/display/web/2009/03/27/am_nuclear_was...
Synopsis: A recent Gallup poll finds nearly 60 percent of Americans support nuclear power. It now produces about 20 percent of the country's energy....Developing more nuclear power could be a challenge without a long-term plan to store nuclear waste. Especially now that President Obama has scaled back funding a nuclear waste dump in Nevada. (Why do you suppose he did that? See my Oct. 27th post above with the link to Sen Harry Reid's website: http://reid.senate.gov/issues/yucca.cfm)
MPR: House energy panel...
Back to page topMPR: House energy panel votes to continue nuclear power moratorium
http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2009/03/27/nuclearpower/
Synopsis: Last Thursday, the MN House Energy Committee voted 9-12 against lifting the present ban on new MN nuclear power plants. "I'm not trying to build a nuclear plant," said Rep. Tim Mahoney (bill author/sponsor). "We're just trying to allow people to talk about it because right now you can't."
No way. Can't let people talk about it.
So, thanks go out to the 12 nay-voters, including committee chair Rep. Bill Hilty, for almost exactly reverse mirroring the sentiment of Americans as noted in the post above and keeping us "focused on the path that we have already started" (Hilty) -- which is good??? Here they are, the group of twelve who protected us from ourselves:
Hilty, Bill
(DFL) District: 08A
rep.bill.hilty@house.mn
Bly, David
(DFL) District: 25B
rep.david.bly@house.mn
Brynaert, Kathy
(DFL) District: 23B
rep.kathy.brynaert@house.mn
Falk, Andrew
(DFL) District: 20A
rep.andrew.falk@house.mn
Johnson, Sheldon
(DFL) District: 67B
rep.sheldon.johnson@house.mn
Kalin, Jeremy
(DFL) District: 17B
rep.jeremy.kalin@house.mn
Knuth, Kate
(DFL) District: 50B
rep.kate.knuth@house.mn
Kulick Jacson, Gail
(DFL) District: 16A
rep.gailkulick.jackson@house.mn
Obermueller, Mike
(DFL) District: 38B
rep.mike.obermueller@house.mn
Persell, John
(DFL) District: 04A
rep.john.persell@house.mn
Sailer, Brita
(DFL) District: 02B
rep.brita.sailer@house.mn
Welti, Andy
(DFL) District: 30B
rep.andy.welti@house.mn
Sources:
http://www.house.leg.state.mn.us/comm/minutes1ls86.asp?comm=86109&id=194...
http://www.house.leg.state.mn.us/comm/committeemembers.asp?comm=86109
MSNBC: MN Senate gives...
Back to page topMSNBC: MN Senate gives initial OK to new nuke plants
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/29901542
Well, clearly my ability to follow the news lags by at least a few days...
The day BEFORE I posted the note above about what the House had done a week prior, the Senate on 4/2 overwhelmingly (42-24) passed an amendment to S.F. 550 (an omnibus energy bill) that would lift the ban on new MN nuclear power plants. 20 of 21 Republicans and 22 of 46 Democrats voted in favor of the amendment.
From the article: Sen. Amy Koch, R-Buffalo, who said lifting the moratorium was one of her main goals for the legislative session, has high hopes that the House and Senate will come to an agreement and send the legislation to Gov. Tim Pawlenty. "I think the people of Minnesota have been speaking," Koch said. "It wasn't just a little win, it was 42 to 24."
Additional Source: http://www.senate.leg.state.mn.us/briefly/floor_display.php?filename_typ...
So, I'm nobody when it comes to understanding how the politics of this must play out, but here are a couple of thoughts -- if anyone reading understands this better, please correct me:
1. Republicans almost universally support nuclear power; Democrats tend to be split just shy of 50-50.
2. In the House, there are 47 Republicans and 87 Democrats. If the measure to lift the ban gets past the Group of Twelve Who Would Protect Us From Ourselves, then if the stats above hold, there would be about, say, 45 Republicans and 42 Democrats who would favor lifting the ban. That is 65% of the House (close to that Gallup poll again), so one would think the measure would succeed.
3. We already now know the sentiment of the Senate.
4. So, I would estimate that the chances of seeing joint legislation going to the Governor are pretty good.
5. All that said, lifting the ban would be just the BEGINNING. The real work still remains: we must know that whatever means for storing the waste must truly be acceptable, and we must have solid confidence in the regulations that would govern any new plants, before any new plant should be authorized.
On the waste question, since the President has all but killed Yucca Mountain, we are basically committed to onsite storage technologies. I'm going to start plunking around to get a better understanding of what's out there. Not strictly relevant to that issue, but here is a cool video of the 1984 British train crash test of a train carrying a nuclear waste flask: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lHtRZ_k0s7M
AP: Obama to Look at Climate...
Back to page topAP: Obama to Look at Climate Engineering
Remember how on Oct 12th (above) we were talking about the differences between passive measures to address climate change (i.e. taking measures NOT to put greenhouse gasses into the atmosphere) versus active measures (i.e. geo-engineering measures intended directly to increase the Earth's albedo or otherwise reduce the average temperature of the planet)?
Guess what?
Obama to Look at Climate Engineering ("as a last resort")
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123920773503201665.html
Welcome to the future your kids will get to live with...
I'd say Obama is about...
Back to page topI'd say Obama is about 10,000 years too late to save Lake Agassiz.
You think the Red River Valley has a water problem now? Take a look back to when the area was covered by frozen water!
http://mrbdc.mnsu.edu/mnbasin/fact_sheets/valley_formation.html
What caused Agassiz to melt? Was it an incease in solar output, or greenhouse gases?
Agassiz itself was actually just the tip of the iceberg (pun intended) compared to the glaciers that covered North America 20,0000 years ago. What happened to all that ice, was it harvested to make igloos?
William Wood, is anyone working on a thermostat for the sun?
> William Wood, is anyone...
Back to page top> William Wood, is anyone working on a thermostat for the sun?
No, and the point you raise is an excellent one, Jagu. This global warming conspiracy is so out of control that it has diverted all solar thermostat funding to IPCC/Cabal "research." At the next Bachmann tent revival / gun show, you need to stand up and DEMAND that solar thermostat research be funded NOW.
(Thank God for Bachmann, too, because heaven knows I could not afford the extra $28,777.60 increase in my annual energy bill that Obama's energy tax will bring to pass.)